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Day Ahead: Top 3 Things to Watch on April 30

Published 04/29/2020, 07:09 PM
Updated 04/29/2020, 07:17 PM
© Reuters.

By Kim Khan 

Investing.com - The stock market demonstrated its ability to turn any hopeful news into solid gains today, rallying sharply following a positive report on Gilead’s virus treatment.

And that enthusiasm could follow through tomorrow as big-name postmarket earnings satisfied the bulls.

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) rose in after-hours trading following their results.

Investors shrugged off a sharp contraction in first-quarter GDP reported today, but tomorrow brings the more timely jobless claims numbers.

More big-name earnings arrive as well and it’s ECB decision day.

Here are three things that could move the markets tomorrow.

1. Rise in Jobless Claims Seen Tempering Again

Jobless claims will be in the spotlight ahead of trading tomorrow, with forecasts expecting them to show another decline in those filing for benefits but to be still at historically high levels.

The Labor Department reports weekly initial jobless claims at 8:30 AM ET (12:30 GMT).

Claims for first-time unemployment benefits are expected to have risen by 3.5 million, down from a rise of 4.43 million the week before, according to forecasts compiled by Investing.com. 

Continuing claims are seen rising to about 19.3 million.

At the same time, March personal income and spending data arrive.

Spending is expected to have fallen 5% last month, with income down 1.5%.

2. Another Big Bout of Tech Earnings on Tap

Major tech earnings have so far justified the bullish bets of investors and two more big names will dominate the postmarket results Thursday.

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), expected to be one of the few companies not struggling during the lockdown, reports its results.

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Analysts are predicting a profit of $6.34 per share and revenue of about $72 billion, according to forecasts compiled by Investing.com.

Last week Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) boosted its price target on the stock to $2,900 from $2,600, the high-water market on Wall Street, and said it should report numbers well above the consensus.

“The increase in demand the company's retail, (cloud) and ads businesses is seeing and Amazon's ability to meet the challenges of this demand, will, we believe, serve to steepen the curve of its long term growth rate, drive incremental profitability, and further deepen the competitive moat around all of its businesses,” Goldman analyst Heath Terry said in a note.

Shareholders will also be looking for any response to President Donald Trump's assertions that package delivery companies should be paying much more to use the U.S. Postal Service.

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) will also issue its quarterly numbers.

The company is expected to post a profit of $2.31 per share and revenue of about $55 billion.

Apple is reportedly delaying the ramp-up in production of its flagship 2020 iPhones due to demand concerns and manufacturing disruption due to Covid-19.

Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) will report ahead of trading, with the consensus calling for a profit of 10 cents per share and revenue of about $791 million.

And McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD) will weigh in ahead of trading as well. Analysts predict earnings of $1.60 per share on sales of about $4.7 billion.

Investors will also be looking for ideas as to when the company will start opening up its restaurants.

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3. ECB Decision, Press Conference Ahead

Central banks continue to be at the forefront tomorrow as the European Central Bank has its decision day.

The ECB will issue its policy statement at 7:45 AM ET (11:45 GMT).

ECB President Christine Lagarde will hold her press conference soon afterwards at 8:30 AM ET.

The central bank is not expected to make any moves on interest rates or adjustments to its 750 billion euro Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) until it gets better clarity on how the easing of lockdown measures is progressing.

Policymakers are also awaiting details from the EU on a potential proposed recovery fund for the coronavirus.

"PEPP may be sufficiently large to fend off (temporarily) pressure on individual countries or product classes until we have more clarity on funding needs a bit later in the year," Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) said.

Latest comments

USA is the greatest country on Earth. Greatest Constitution, great people, plus the greatest companies on earth like Tesla, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, +++
Don't forget Chief Son In Law Jared the robot is now touting the US economy, saying it will be rocking again by July......based on his outstanding track record in middle east diplomacy I see no reason to doubt his prediction
Expected Dow drop today! Market Overvalued!
Don’t fight a TRUMP when he can print a money. It is still long way till printer lose ink. But it will be rough for him when people see data for Q2
 don't worry he will just blame China and liberal media as usual
Have to feel badly for the always wrong leftist imbec1le missing the greatest rally in Wall St history.
You will get caught sooner or later. You are nothing for them. You can earn hundreds of $ every day but in the end You will lose 100k
This is a deflationary economy with low growth, low demand and high unemployment.By Q3 we may say lows lower than what we saw in March.
Absolutely right ! Other than statistics , Governments and Central Banks soon will say that Remdesivir or a few other medicines can treat the patients so there is no need to subsidise any company. Greetings from Helsinki.
Another record jobless claim; another market melt up on bad news
But the market is forward looking. Notwithstanding the focus on second quarter earnings, which dont takeninto account the lockdowns or full brunt of the virus situation.
This are the last bits of positivity. Just enjoy it and place your bets after
buy now there will be no more big downturns
I wish so much happiness:-)
Yeah right. We are blind. Just buy it man and don’t worry about us. We will just watch this lies how slowly disapire
Quite astonishing that most of big companies just went back to their almost highs. Could have made huge profits if I invested at specific times and call out today.. Now what
now what? now swing with the market until the end of June. they will continue playing up and down every week until summer
hold
There are many people who are wondering the same , including my self. Soon all kind of subsiding will stop . Then , infront of the fundamentals and statistics, the big investors will hold or sell....? Once you answer to this simple question you have the answer of what is going to happen before the end of this year.
This is a twisted market with unlimited QE! People are happy and seems not much people care what the poor economic indicators imply....
Wait for Q2 earnings. This is the last up you will see in a year or 2
they'll just say it was a blimp and q3 willl be better bc there's a promising vaccine
market trend is up.... bc fed and manipulation.... market trend will fall back to bearish mid May when states open up .... up on rumor.... down on news and actual opening
okay but summe is coming but worse than winter:-)
 for shore. Remember, the FED’s and ECB’s can print all the want, demand will drop with hundreds of millions of people out of work. Producing at old levels with demand disappearing will result in what we allready see with oil. Millions of Tesla’s and iPhone and no one to buy
And another think will be the poor handelingen of the coronavirus by the US. This will prolong the problem way into Q2, Q3 and Q4. We all No the domino effect of companies falling out other chain. Grim times ahead.
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