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Receding trade fears propel stocks to six-month peak

Published 09/21/2018, 11:45 AM
© Reuters. Traders work on the floor of the NYSE in New York

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar rebounded and world shares hit a more than six-month high on Friday after China's moves to boost domestic consumption bolstered a rally driven by investor bets the latest U.S.-Sino trade salvoes were unlikely to dent global growth.

The U.S. benchmark S&P 500 stock index and the Dow industrials scaled record peaks for a second session, though the Nasdaq turned lower soon after the market opened.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.39 percent to hit six-month highs.

Sterling tumbled and pushed the dollar up after British Prime Minister Theresa May said Brexit talks had hit an impasse and that the European Union must offer an alternative plan after the bloc's leaders rejected her plans.

The pound fell 1.36 percent, and was on course for its biggest daily loss since June 2017.

"Sterling bears are out in full force. They've pushed the pound quite aggressively down this morning," said Dean Popplewell, a chief currency strategist at Oanda in Toronto.

The dollar rebounded from early lows but was still set for its biggest weekly drop since February as the equity market rally and rising bond yields fueled a rush to buy riskier assets. The dollar index rose 0.26 percent to 94.159 against a basket of major currencies.

A rally in Chinese markets helped lift MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan 1.32 percent, partly on expectations that Beijing will pump more money into its economy to weather the trade war.

Miners and banks drove Britain's top share index up 1.6 percent, while Germany's DAX, home to some of the continent's biggest exporters, rose 0.53 percent.

U.S. capital markets are exuberant, with stock valuations high at 21 times trailing earnings and struggling economies around the world a risk for U.S. stocks, said Michael Geraghty, equity strategist at Cornerstone Capital Group in New York.

"There's really been no bad news to cause this market to take a breather for weeks," Geraghty said. "The risk for U.S. equity markets is what's going on overseas."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 48.39 points, or 0.18 percent, to 26,705.37. he S&P 500 gained 2.73 points, or 0.09 percent, to 2,933.48 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 21.76 points, or 0.27 percent, to 8,006.47.

Shares of Boeing (NYSE:BA) and 3M (NYSE:MMM), among U.S. companies most exposed to a trade war, were higher. However, semiconductor makers declined after top chipmaker Micron said U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods would weigh on results for as much as a year.

U.S. long-dated Treasury yields slipped, in tandem with those in Europe, as Brexit talks stalled between Britain and the European Union.

U.S. 2-year yields, however, remained unaffected as they hit a fresh 10-year high in the run-up to an expected rate increase at next week's Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting.

Benchmark 10-year notes last rose 3/32 in price to yield 3.0683 percent.

Oil prices rose ahead of a meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and other large crude exporters on Sunday that will focus on production increases as U.S. sanctions restrict exports from Iran.

© Reuters. Traders work on the floor of the NYSE in New York

Brent crude oil rose 2 cents at $78.72 a barrel. U.S. light crude gained 21 cents at $70.53.

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