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Sliver of hope for trade deal buoys battered stocks

Published 05/10/2019, 07:28 AM
© Reuters. Traders work on the floor at the NYSE in New York

By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON (Reuters) - Global stocks gained on Friday after a battering this week as investors held out a sliver of hope for a trade deal amid last-ditch talks between the United States and China, even as a fresh round of U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods took effect.

European stock markets bounced off six-week lows, with Germany's trade-sensitive DAX index leading the charge with a 1% rise.

MSCI's All-Country World Index, which tracks stocks across 47 countries, was up 0.24% by midday in London.

But the gauge was set for its worst weekly performance since late December 2018, with a loss of 2.75% as bets on an imminent trade deal between the U.S. and China unraveled after tensions unexpectedly flared up during negotiations between the two sides.

The Japanese yen was 0.1% lower to the dollar.

U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff increase to 25% from 10% on $200 billion of Chinese goods kicked in on Friday, and Beijing said it would strike back.

Top U.S. and Chinese negotiators are in talks to try to rescue a faltering deal aimed at ending a 10-month trade war between the world's two largest economies.

"Investors seem to have concluded this (tariff increase) is indeed only a negotiating ploy and remain hopeful that the situation won't escalate further," said Marios Hadjikyriacos, investment analyst at online broker XM, adding that markets were pricing a deal as the most likely endgame.

"To believe that a deal can be sealed in a couple of weeks and that matters won't escalate any further before we get there seems like wishful thinking."

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(Graphic: China-US trade: monthly figures link: https://tmsnrt.rs/2Lzed8e).

Others were even less sanguine: UBS Wealth Management cut its exposure to emerging market stocks late Thursday, changing its portfolio as the intensification of trade tensions took its toll on markets, the asset manager said in a note.

E-mini futures for the S&P 500 index of stocks were down 0.3%, indicating a lower open on Wall Street. The VIX volatility gauge stood at 19.08, down from its highest level since January hit on Thursday.

The White House has said the two sides would resume negotiations on Friday morning in Washington after concluding the first of two days of talks on Thursday.

Asian shares lost some of their gains after the U.S. tariff hike, with investors worried that a protracted trade war could hamper global economic growth.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan, which dropped more than 1% early Friday, remained where they were when tariff increase kicked in, up 0.3%.

Japan's Nikkei was off 0.3%.

In currencies, the dollar was lower by 0.03% against a basket of peers. The Japanese yen was flat, having gained 1.2% this week. The euro was higher by 0.2% at $1.1232, set for a second week of gains.

German 10-year government bond yields were headed for their biggest weekly fall in seven weeks in a sign that a ratcheting up in U.S./China trade tensions have exacerbated concern about the global growth outlook.

Oil prices rose. Brent was up 0.6% to $70.80 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell 0.5% to $62.02.

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Gold ticked up 0.1% to $1,285.55 per ounce.

(Graphic: U.S. Yield Curve link: http://tmsnrt.rs/2zUqXiW)

Latest comments

bomz bomzov's comments remind us all to just say no to translation apps from China...
America doesn't care about trade deficits as long as we have equal market access, opportunity and legal protection in China. We don't even need a fair game as long as it IS a game. So many people act like America started this trade dispute. China started attacking our country 20 years ago. We're just now getting around to addressing that issue.
US in a deep  social political crisis. in contradiction with the first amendment media fusion with state political parties. legislative branch of power fusion with judiciary, in contradiction of the principle of separation branches of power. law enforcement system no longer works to prevent crimes, but only  incomes of lawyers and private judicial contractors, in contradiction of the eighth amendment producing the cruelty of crimes. in contradiction the principle of separation branches of power, Congress printed national debt in circumvention of the central bank, with a complete inability to protect the borders and curb illegal migration. besides all this, there is also a complete inability to conclude international agreements in the interests of the American people. the emerging social networks freed public opinion from the fake news agenda. the establishment is removed from power, power is in the hands of the business manager of the corporations that created the greatness of the usa
Listen carefully to Hillary. She is ready to conclude an agreement with China in order to get monetary support for the elections. this is the work of the bureaucracy, the so-called establishment
The establishment played a role when there was no internet, no cars and no affordable education. to adopt a declaration of independence and a constitution. but now leading to the monopolization of the medical services market with thoughtless by state regulation, the establishment proposes socialism - to exclude consumers who cannot pay for services and raise prices even higher. the establishment is outdated. any average corporation is managed more efficiently than the United States.
finally, Trump wins!!!!!!!!
have another drink
It’s too funny people think sales tax can revive a country. Even if tariff increase to 1000%, US still had to buy imports from foreign nations at a much higher price. Meanwhile China can do business wiith the rest of 5.7 billion people in the world
We will buy from those who we can reasonably trust at the best price possible. If prices to have things made in other countries gets too high we make it at home. I dont think this is a binary situation.
when us has trade deficit with any country, trade war starts, because we want to buy, but we don't want deficit. How funny!!
Haha, good luck making them at home with failing infrastructure, hollowed manufacturing core and stagnamt income. Nonbidy cares if Americans lower them own living standard
Trump is an Amerian hero,, peoples like in the pass are blinded by trends,, fake news and bias narrative.. In 20 years movies will be made and peoples will praise this president who faces adversities and the incompetents politicians and totally bias fake news of the world alone,..
Dream on. Trump is a failure and a fraud.
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