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Dollar Up as U.S. Employment Data Disappoints, Focus Turns to Inflation

ForexMay 10, 2021 12:41AM ET
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© Reuters.

By Gina Lee

Investing.com – The dollar was up on Monday morning in Asia but remained near a more than two-month low. Investors continue to assess the previous week’s disappointing U.S. employment report and its implications for monetary policy ahead of inflation data due later in the week.

The U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.05% to 90.260 by 12:31 AM ET (4:31 AM GMT).

The USD/JPY pair was up 0.24% to 108.87.

The AUD/USD pair inched up 0.04% to 0.7845. Australian data released earlier in the day said that the National Australia Bank (NAB) Business Confidence Index rose to a better-than-expected 26 in April. However, retail sales grew 1.3% month-on-month in March, slightly below expectations.

The NZD/USD pair inched up 0.01% to 0.7274.

The USD/CNY pair inched down 0.01% to 6.4301, ahead of Chinese inflation data due on Tuesday.

The GBP/USD pair was up 0.35% to 1.4021. The pound continued above the 1.4-mark even after Scotland’s First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said that another referendum on independence was inevitable after her Scottish National Party won a resounding victory in the previous week’s elections.

Friday’s U.S. employment report for April disappointed, with non-farm payrolls only rising by 266,000 during the month, well below the 978,000-rise in forecasts prepared by Investing.com. The unemployment rate also rose to a higher-than-expected 6.1% in April.

With expectations that the economic recovery from COVID-19 will lead to runaway inflation all but gone, investors now await inflation data, including the Core Consumer Price Index due later in the week.

Several U.S. Federal Reserve officials, including Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and U.S. Fed Governor Lael Brainard on Tuesday, will also speak throughout the week.

Some investors remained pessimistic as the dollar index dipped as low as 90.128 for the first time since Feb. 26.

"The dollar’s choppy downtrend can continue this week,” Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY) strategist Kim Mundy wrote in a client note.

The unexpected slow recovery in the U.S. labor market reinforces the FOMC's patient approach to monetary policy," while "the improving global economic outlook is a medium-term weight on the dollar," the note added, predicting a break above $1.22 for the euro.

The euro edged up 0.1% to $1.2172, earlier touching the highest since Feb. 26 at $1.2177.

On the cryptocurrencies front, dogecoin traded near the $0.56 mark. The virtual currency lost more than a third of its price on Sunday after Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk called it a "hustle" when he guest-hosted the "Saturday Night Live" TV show.

"Musk is probably happy to jump on the joke of what is a meme(coin), but investors are probably feeling real pain now," Diginex head of Exchange Sales Justin d'Anethan told Reuters.

"The supply is essentially unlimited for dogecoin, and so unsustainable long-term. It's a question of who will sell first and who will be left holding the bags,” he added.

Dollar Up as U.S. Employment Data Disappoints, Focus Turns to Inflation
 

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Adam Paine
Adam Paine May 10, 2021 1:49AM ET
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The dollar is essentially unlimited for the US, and so unsustainable long-term. It's a question of who will sell first and who will be left holding the bags,” he added.
 
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