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Bitcoin plunges: A bust or a buy?

Published 05/19/2021, 01:08 AM
Updated 05/19/2021, 05:39 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The logo of the Bitcoin digital currency is seen in a shop in Marseille, France, February 7, 2021. REUTERS/Eric Gaillard

By Tommy Wilkes, Sujata Rao and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) -Cryptocurrencies that seemed to be defying gravity just weeks ago came back down to earth with a bump on Wednesday after a roller-coaster ride which could undermine their potential as mainstream investments.

The two main digital currencies, bitcoin and ether, fell as much as 30% and 45% respectively, but significantly pared losses after two of their biggest backers - Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Inc chief Elon Musk and Ark Invest's Chief Executive Cathie Wood - indicated their support for bitcoin.

While many analysts thought the explosion in crypto interest this year was not sustainable, the trigger for the shake-out was China's move on Tuesday to ban financial and payment institutions from providing cryptocurrency services. It also warned investors against speculative crypto trading.

At one point on Wednesday nearly $1 trillion was wiped off the market capitalization of the entire crypto sector. In early afternoon trading, their market cap was $1.8 trillion, according to data tracker CoinGecko.com.

"It's not just a small segment of the world that is affected by cryptocurrencies; it's now mainstream," said Tom Plumb, portfolio manager of the Plumb Balanced Fund.

In other markets, a move into safe-haven U.S. Treasury securities initially knocked yields lower, although yields rose after the release of minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting, while U.S. stock indexes logged losses.

"There's a lot of leverage embedded into crypto stocks so there will be a spillover effect into equity markets in the short term and there is also quite the inflation fear as the market thinks the Fed might have to hike rates abruptly if prices keep rising," said Thomas Hayes, chairman and managing member at hedge fund Great Hill Capital LLC.

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Federal Reserve officials played down any risk to the wider financial system.

"By itself I don't see that as a systemic concern at this point," St. Louis Federal Reserve president James Bullard said. "We are all quite aware that crypto can be very volatile."

Bitcoin, the biggest and best-known cryptocurrency, had already been under pressure from a series of tweets from Tesla's Musk.

Cryptocurrency price declines last week were sparked by Musk's reversal on Tesla accepting bitcoin as payment, citing the heavy environmental toll of "mining" bitcoin, which requires a lot of electricity to power the computers that create bitcoin.

Amid Wednesday's crypto sell-off, Musk tweeted a 'diamond hands' emoji https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1395027147161489412?s=20, used in social media to signal a position is worth holding on to.

"His tweet definitely helped the recovery," said Mike Venuto, founder and chief investment officer at Toroso Investments, which oversees $7 billion in assets. "Would it have recovered some without it? Yes. But would it have recovered nicely? Maybe not."

Bitcoin has dropped some 40% from a record high of $64,895 hit on April 14. On Wednesday, it hit a low of $30,066 and was last down 13% at $37,323. Tesla shares fell 2.5%.

"Bitcoin's sharp price drop should come as no shock to the market," said Gavin Smith, CEO of crypto consortium Panxora.

"Any asset which has risen as much as bitcoin over the past year can be expected to have pullbacks as some investors withdraw profits, like we're currently seeing."

Bitcoin's decline whacked other crypto assets, with ether, the coin linked to the ethereum blockchain network, last down 22.5% at $2,620.

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Meme-based dogecoin also tumbled, losing nearly 26%, at 35 cents, according to Coingecko.

Amid the volatility, cryptocurrency trading platforms Coinbase and Binance said they were investigating or experiencing some service issues. Shares in Coinbase dropped 5.9% on Wednesday.

Technical factors were also said to be at play as bitcoin appeared to accelerate once it fell below its 200-day moving average, a chart position which traders follow.

"The crypto markets are currently processing a cascade of news that fuel the bear case for price development," said Ulrik Lykke, executive director at crypto hedge fund ARK36.

Some crypto-watchers predicted more losses ahead, noting the fall below $40,000 represented a breach of a key technical barrier.

ARK CEO Wood, on the other hand, said in an interview with Bloomberg that she was still sticking to her $500,000 forecast for bitcoin.

Investors could also be exiting bitcoin for gold, analysts at JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) said, citing data on open interest in CME bitcoin futures contracts.

That the crypto asset is tumbling at a time when inflation fears are rising undermines the case for investing in the asset class to hedge against inflation, analysts said.

Latest comments

I really wants to split his face and throw punchs on his face!
recent events /tweets shows that it's not a real asset..it can be shaken too easily. just a tweak here and there. emperor is slowly but surely being exposed as the fraud it is.
Deep buy, buy ))) its a joke!
Go ahead , suckers, buy in !!! I lobe crypto because it burns off Fed cheap credit effect on stocks/assets!!!! Yeah baby !!
A bust to short, not buy? Next low is not the bottom of the high hill
Physical gold has very strong demand - India gold imports in Q1 surged to over $6 billion. Once COVID lockdowns end, jewellers will reopen and imports will zoom further
The crypto bloodbath that gripped investor attention was largely attributed to a regulatory crackdown in China. But this narrative “was quite deceiving as it was the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reiterating a 2017 policy rather than establishing any new ban,”
exactly same news for the 1226 time. China has always said stuff like this nothing new.
exactly same news for the 1226 time. China has always said stuff like this nothing new.
that's the point, these articles are always recycled to justify the Chinese ponzi scheme of crypto. Crypto exchanges are literally an unregulated Las Vegas. Just throw a few hundred at crypto and hope to get lucky, people viewing this as an investment are the ones getting liquidating or holding garbage assets. The old saying "you only make money once you sell...or lose etc." is a perfect example here. How many people actually took profit over the past 3 months? Probably very few which is why this dump occurred. To showcase how manipulated this all is, I can easily tell you that btc will pop over 40k overnight. Once Americans start buying high priced btc again tomorrow morning 40k to 42k, the dump to 36k will resume again. Around 9 to 10 am est.
What's done is done!! let's get back to business brothers!!
"Bitcoin plunges: A bust or a buy?" Might as well "buy" as Elon will more-than-likely do another 180, so get ahead of his curve and instrument.
bagholders running for the exits!!!
I told you guys... China would ban the cryptos...
Fools gold, bubble bursting predictably. Those who grew up in the market during the Dot com bubble learned this lesson already, the rest are learning now
Time to say goodbye Crypto. cheers!
hahaha
Ancient wisdom says sell your milk, honey and sheep when the daily value is more than -20%
And Crypto is none of Those. Only thing Crypto-Bitcoin is good for is hiding non traceable Financial Transactions and sheer unmitigated Gambling. Period. That shall Always come to a truly Terrible End...
Crypto is crime motivated currency, investing in it is investing in ransomware cyber attacks, it's their vehicle for rewards, you want to invest in hackers cyber attacks...invest in cryptocurrency
You can say the same thing about any currency. I just saw the other day where they busted some illegal operations and found a pallet full of US dollars.
the fiat cash in your pocket is crime motivated currency, nothing to see here with your comment
this where amatures  get separated from the pros
time to buy i would say... buy low as always
only government issued digital currency will be widely accepted. They have to have control.
Elon, China, Rebalance of portfolios, alot of countries appetite of creating their own cryptos, big whales market mannupulations, dumb little chicken retail investors panic selling, options snakes, ****of alot going on.... On top of that the sudden peak to 65k was never seen before.. So profit takings.. As we can see.. So much one can handle... I reccon bitcoin has shown its strengh and position as an asset. Gold didn't go through so much as bitcoin did.. And it tumbled from 2100 to 1600 region.... Goes to show that bitcoin is not a pitcoin... Its coming back ever strong.... All it needs now is the miners to take the headlines and talk of green energy. Few big boys to catch the headlines with large purchases, and ideally all the chicken retailers lectured on not to panic the minute after you buy your stash..
u must have loaded a lot at the high.
Good one sir.
China’s cryptocurrency policy is not a surprise. This is just a market correction but this is not the end of the blockchain era at all.
not good for my stocks. but still I have some gold.. I just need a happy ending.
Bubbles burst... nothing new... Next burst? Stock markets!
Along with Joe Biden's popularity bubble.
And U.S. dollar.
- Yes. Stock Markets could likely Burst at Any Time...WE are in the Very last itty bitty Days before a very Sharp Down Turn in The Stock Markets. I see the Dow Jones dropping to very near 20,000-21.000 Dow...And 'That' might not be The Low either.
Elon Musk is Mega Shark, Sell or By?
Tesla the ***that starts the burst.No pun intended or maybe?
Well i am thinking about buying after the dip ends. And if dip ends and there are sign of potential rise, i will buy
Dumpster fire... let it burn!
20k is coming and it gonna stay around there for months.
Huge bubble run for your life babies :)
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