Get 40% Off
🤯 Perficient is up a mind-blowing 53%. Our ProPicks AI saw the buying opportunity in March.Read full update

Lending and consumer data cements case for ECB rate cuts

Published 04/26/2024, 05:02 AM
Updated 04/26/2024, 05:06 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view shows the European Central Bank (ECB) building, on the day of the monthly news conference following the ECB's monetary policy meeting in Frankfurt, Germany, September 14, 2023. REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay/File Photo

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Euro zone lending continued to stagnate in March and consumers trimmed their inflation expectations as record-high borrowing costs kept putting the brakes on the euro zone's economy, European Central Bank (ECB) reports showed on Friday.

The data was likely to cement the ECB's plan to start cutting interest rates in June after seeing inflation fall to just above its 2% goal and economic growth come to a standstill.

"Today's data is in line with a start to cautious rate cuts," Bert Colijn, senior economist for the euro zone at ING, said.

Bank credit figures illustrated how high rates were likely discouraging borrowers as well as lenders - part of the price to pay for the ECB's fight against high inflation.

Bank loans to companies increased by just 0.4% in March, compared with 0.3% a month earlier. Growth in lending to households, which had been more resilient until last summer, set a new decade-low at 0.2%, from 0.3% in February.

In a sign that the ECB's bitter medicine was working, an ECB survey showed consumers in March cut their inflation expectations for the following 12 months to their lowest since December 2021 at 3.0%.

Inflation expectations for three years ahead held steady for a fourth consecutive month at 2.5%, the ECB said in its monthly poll of around 19,000 consumers.

"From now on, we must weigh the risk of monetary policy becoming too tight," ECB policymaker Fabio Panetta said late on Thursday. "A tight monetary stance could...increase the risk of a protracted period of economic weakness."

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

On the upside, the amount of money circulating in the euro zone - a measure that often works as a leading indicator - continued to rebound and grew by 0.9%, the fastest pace since last May.

This chimed with some recent data pointing to tentative signs of recovery, or at least a stabilisation, in the economy.

Inflation has fallen quickly over the past year but the outlook remains clouded by rising energy costs, stubbornly high services inflation and continued geopolitical tensions that threaten to disrupt trade.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.