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Fitch downgrades U.S. credit rating, AMD's AI chip plans - what's moving markets

Published 08/02/2023, 05:55 AM
Updated 08/02/2023, 05:23 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- U.S. stock futures fall after Fitch lowers its U.S. credit rating, flagging worries over Washington's ability to resolve pressing fiscal issues in the wake of a tense debt-limit standoff earlier this year. Elsewhere, semiconductor firm Advanced Micro Devices predicts that the planned launch of its new artificial intelligence chips will drive earnings higher this year, while Starbucks sees demand for its coffee and food offerings slow in North America.

1. Fitch downgrades U.S. credit rating

Fitch has lowered its rating of U.S. debt to AA+ from the top tier level of AAA, citing concerns over a rising debt burden and eroding confidence in Washington's leadership, only months after lawmakers brought the world's largest economy to the brink of a sovereign default.

The downgrade, which is the first by a major ratings agency in over a decade, points to fears that repeated political standoffs over the debt limit could threaten the stability of the $25 trillion global Treasury market. Treasuries have typically been seen as a safe-haven asset backed by trust that America will pay back its obligations, and this faith has helped to underpin U.S. debt as a benchmark for stocks and other bonds.

While Fitch's move is not expected to immediately alter this role, it does raise some questions around America's reputation for reliability. In a statement on Tuesday, the ratings firm argued that there has been "a steady deterioration in standards of governance over the last 20 years, including on fiscal and debt matters."

Fitch also predicted that the general government deficit will climb to 6.3% of gross domestic product in 2023, up from 3.7% in 2022, "reflecting weaker federal revenues, new spending initiatives and a higher interest burden."

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The announcement was met with some derision, with economist Lawrence Summers calling it "bizarre and inept" in light of recent signs of U.S. economic resilience and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen saying it was "arbitrary and based on outdated data."

2. Futures lower after Fitch announcement

U.S. stock futures moved lower on Wednesday, while the dollar slipped and Treasury futures rose, as investors attempted to gauge the impact of Fitch's decision.

By 05:18 ET (09:18 GMT), the Dow futures contract had dropped by 232 points or 0.64%, S&P futures lost 39 points or 0.84%, and Nasdaq 100 futures shed 182 points or 1.15%.

The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies, fell by 0.16% to 102.14, but remained relatively close to three-month highs. Yields on U.S. Treasuries, meanwhile, declined. Prices for these bonds typically increase when yields fall.

Investors had a relatively muted reaction to the downgrade, with some analysts saying they expect the fallout to be limited. However, they flagged that it still injects added uncertainty into markets at a time when the immediate path ahead for the world economy is murky.

3. AMD and Starbucks

Along with the Fitch downgrade, markets were pouring over the latest quarterly earnings from chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) and coffeehouse chain Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX).

AMD forecast that the release of its artificial intelligence chips will drive up its annual results, sending shares higher in premarket trading.

The semiconductor group plans to launch its MI300 AI chips later this year. The technology is expected to compete directly with rival Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) in the increasingly lucrative market for AI-powering chips. Chief Executive Officer Lisa Su noted that customer interest in the MI300 series of chips is "very high."

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Starbucks, meanwhile, reported global comparable sales that missed estimates, as demand for the Frappuccino maker's drinks and food showed signs of slowing in North America. Quarterly transactions in the region rose by just 1%, down from a 6% uptick in the prior three-month period.

But Starbucks still topped profit estimates thanks in large part to a sharp recovery in sales in China, which analysts said helped mitigate a premarket slide in the company's shares.

4. Qualcomm highlights earnings day

This week's wave of quarterly corporate earnings gathers pace Wednesday, with chipmaker Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) set to headline the slate of companies reporting.

The San Diego-based group, which makes chips that help power a wide range of smartphones, is expected to deliver fiscal third-quarter adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.81 on adjusted revenue of $8.51 billion, according to Bloomberg consensus estimates. In the corresponding period last year, the company posted an EPS of $2.96 and revenues of $10.93B.

Analysts at JPMorgan said earlier this week that Qualcomm could beat relatively low estimates, citing recent returns from its rivals that suggest "improved trends" in the sluggish smartphone market.

Demand for handset devices has faced headwinds as inflation-hit consumers rein in spending on non-essential items, replacement cycles elongate, and smartphone makers struggle to come up with new advances to entice customers. In the first quarter, global smartphone shipments slipped by 13%, according to research firm Canalys.

Elsewhere, other firms posting results include pharmacy chain CVS (NYSE:CVS), fintech group PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL), and fast food corporation Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM).

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5. Crude prices climb after U.S. inventories draw

Oil prices rose Wednesday, nearing their highest levels since April, after industry data pointed to a hefty fall in U.S. inventories, indicating robust demand from the world's biggest fuel consumer.

Data from the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday showed that U.S. crude inventories shrank by 15.4 million barrels in the week to July 28, the largest draw seen in data stretching back to 1982. Official data from the Energy Information Administration are due later in the session for confirmation.

Outside of the U.S., Saudi Arabia is expected to announce that it will extend its voluntary output cuts into September at an OPEC+ meeting on Friday, Reuters has reported.

By 05:19 ET, the U.S. crude contract traded 0.98% higher at $82.17 a barrel, while the Brent contract climbed 0.86% to $85.64.

Latest comments

Sell NASDAQ stocks and invest in INDIAN market ....
Scammmmmmmm
It's high time to Sell in US / NASDAQ and Buy in Developing Economies like India Phillipines.....Today's fall in Indian Market should be taken as Buying opportunity for tomorrow.
The xauusd stock movement tonight went to price 2000
Fitch...????? lol!!!!!!!
What's a Fitch?
irrelevant boomer nonsense
As usual the next quarter earnings predicted to be better ....thats what chips companies claimed in last quarter....... claiming AI chips demand will boost their revenues sky high but in reality worse result than last year pre AI hype quarter ...so now repeat a rosy future growth prediction again......so on and on......the AI
Also... remember Fitch never downgraded any CDO's until after Lehman failed! They propped housing until the bitter end.
It's insane, but the U.S. government now runs completely on borrowed money. It takes all the annual tax revenue to cover entitlement spending and debt servicing. Even a little of that is borrowed.
"The U.S. runs completely on borrowed money..." False, tax receipts for Q1 2023 were 2.96 trillion. Do your own research next time and stop with the knee jerk defense of mendacity just because it fits your political bent, it's embarrassing.
Hi Brad. Just read the article by Lance. It explains that the government spent 6 trillion in 2022. They took in 5 trillion in taxes. 5 trillion was social spending and debt service.
It takes a big person to admit their mistake. Thanks.
1 of 2 things going on. Either all analysis previous to the the great money expansion experiment was WRONG, or the New Normal of no negative analysis can affect asset values is Wrong. Yield curve is now entirely inverted out to 2 yr., all yields are above 4% and this all happened in 24 months .11% -  5.38%! Stocks keep roaring higher. 2nd wave of inflation coming with oil surging back above $80/bbl. There is no way FED can stop at even 6%.
It's insane! You and I will pay the price. Once the digital dollar is in place the government will be able to seize as much tax revenue as they want. FEDNOW was put into operation on Thursday 7/20/23. Google it.
Inflation concerns continue to linger.
The global economy is becoming more interconnected.
lol..who paid fitch to say that..b.....ss
Diamond hands will win here.
Mody's is better
I guess people like Larry and Yellen don't think debt at 130% of GDP, a mark considered high and worrying to everyone, is a big deal?
..the debt to GDP has been a concern for a long time. It's a shame that inbreds immediately cry Trump when there's a perception that bad news may impact their useless leader in DC. Embarrassingly cultish these leftists.
True, but that does not mean fiscal profligacy is a good thing. It means both parties are corrupt and irresponsible.
Democrats controlled the House where soending originates
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