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Fed's Kashkari: More rate hikes ahead, and possible recession

Published 08/10/2022, 02:36 PM
Updated 08/10/2022, 03:06 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari poses during an interview with Reuters in his office at the bank's headquarters in Minneapolis, Minnesota, U.S., January 10, 2020. REUTERS/ Ann Saphir

By Ann Saphir

(Reuters) -Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari on Wednesday said he is sticking to his view that the U.S. central bank will need to raise its policy rate another 1.5 percentage points this year and more in 2023, even if that causes a recession.

The Fed is "far, far away from declaring victory" on inflation, Kashkari said at the Aspen Ideas Conference, despite the "welcome" news in the consumer price index report earlier in the day that inflation may have begun to cool.

Kashkari said he hasn't "seen anything that changes" the need to raise the Fed's policy rate to 3.9% by year-end and to 4.4% by the end of 2023. The rate is currently in the 2.25%-2.5% range.

Although Kashkari acknowledged that raising rates so quickly could push the economy into recession, and that a recession could even occur in the "near future," he said that risk will not deter him. "We have to get back to 2%" inflation, he said.

Consumer prices rose 8.5% in July from a year earlier, the Labor Department report showed on Wednesday.

Kashkari also pushed back on market expectations for rate cuts to begin early next year, saying they are "not realistic." Rates are not likely to be cut "until we get convinced that inflation is well on its way" to the Fed's 2% target, he said.

Latest comments

This guy is always on the extreme. First extreme dove, now extreme hawk. Like dude how do you now see that you are responsible for the boom/bust cycle.
wondering who's payroll the Fed is on. No matter the truth they're determined to go on their daily reality show like talk tours threatening to destroy the economy and bring down the market. They've made it clear it's jobs they want to destroy and available loans to ruin lives of the general public. No ethics or principles they had no problem dropping rates in several cuts before the pandemic for no reason. Volcker wasn't a horrible idea and the variables from then to now not the same.
that doesnt matter what you say.  we're 21 y/os the market has always gone up in our life time.  so a 0.5% drop in inflation is the "all clear signal" so we are fine with paying 30-40x EPS.    Fed pivot coming!  yea!  all clear!
6.5% from the 2% target
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