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Debt ceiling talks, Target reports, U.S. housing data - what's moving markets

Published 05/17/2023, 05:00 AM
Updated 05/17/2023, 05:39 AM
© Reuters

Investing.com -- U.S. President Joe Biden trims an overseas trip this week as lawmakers come out of a key meeting with guarded hopes for debt ceiling deal. Meanwhile, retail chain Target prepares to unveil its latest results, and fresh data is expected to provide new insight into the state of the U.S. housing market.

1. Debt ceiling deal "possible"

President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy carried a cautiously positive message out of their latest crunch meeting over raising the debt ceiling.

Following the talks on Tuesday, which included other top Congressional leaders, Biden said that the lawmakers were on "a path" towards reaching an agreement to increase the more than $31 trillion federal borrowing limit. The White House later added that Biden will shorten a planned trip overseas this week to participate in further negotiations in person.

For his part, McCarthy noted that "it is possible to get a deal by the end of the week."

However, the deadline to avoid an unprecedented default continues to edge closer, with the U.S. widely expected to run out of money to pay debtholders early next month. Such an occurrence, officials have warned, could prove to be catastrophic for the U.S. and have knock-on effects for the global economy.

2. Futures hold steady amid debt limit optimism

U.S. stock futures inched higher on Wednesday as investors gauged the guarded optimism from lawmakers in Washington over the debt limit negotiations.

At 04:57 ET (08:57 GMT), the Dow futures contract was up 94 points or 0.28%, S&P 500 futures traded 11 points or 0.27% higher, and Nasdaq 100 futures edged up 20 points or 0.15%.

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Wall Street stocks dropped in the prior session, with the outlook for the negotiations still mired in uncertainty. The meeting between Biden, McCarthy, and Congressional leaders ended after U.S. markets closed on Tuesday.

The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average and broad-based S&P 500 both slipped. The Nasdaq Composite also dipped, although strength in technology stocks helped mitigate these losses.

Government bond yields for both 2-year and 10-year notes moved higher, while bills maturing next month (when a U.S. default is projected to happen) saw their yields retreat from their highest mark since before the 2008 financial crisis. Prices fall as yields rise.

3. Target on deck

Target (NYSE:TGT) will become the latest U.S. retail chain to report its latest earnings this week, with investors keen to see how much price-conscious consumers are snapping up the company's food products.

Groceries have previously made up just over a fifth of Minnesota-based Target's total sales as shoppers chose to buy other items like bed sheets and beauty products. But with inflation at elevated levels, customers are widely expected to have relegated their spending to essential goods like food.

Target will report how well this demand for groceries held up when it releases its latest earnings before the start of U.S. trading on Wednesday.

Elsewhere, DIY group Home Depot (NYSE:HD) slashed its guidance on Tuesday after unfavorable weather contributed to weaker-than-expected sales. Shares in the firm fell.

On Thursday, low-cost retail giant Walmart (NYSE:WMT) will step into the limelight when it posts fresh results.

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4. U.S. housing data ahead

On the economic data front, investors will have a chance on Wednesday to examine the health of the U.S. real estate market with the release of the housing starts and building permits figures for April.

Single-family housing starts, which typically accounts for a large portion of new homebuilding, jumped in March, while permits for these projects also surged to a five-month high.

Economists have suggested that a recent cooling in mortgage rates could be providing a boost to demand from homebuyers. These rates have fallen from their peaks reached last October and November as expectations grow that the Federal Reserve will pump the brakes on its long-standing monetary policy tightening campaign as soon as next month.

However, housing activity still looks to be some way off from a total revival. A decline in multi-family homebuilding dragged overall housing starts down by 0.8% to 1.420 million units in March, while total building permits also dropped.

5. U.S. crude stockpiles move higher

Oil prices hovered around the flatline on Wednesday after an unexpected rise in U.S. crude stockpiles exacerbated concerns over demand in the world's largest consumer.

U.S. crude inventories increased by around 3.6 million barrels in the week ended May 12, according to data from the industry body American Petroleum Institute, instead of an anticipated drawdown.

However, these losses have been limited as releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve have to be factored into the inventory build, while the drop in gasoline and distillates inventories pointed to improving demand ahead of the summer season.

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At 05:11 ET, U.S. crude futures traded 0.04% lower at $70.83 per barrel, while the Brent contract inched up 0.04% to $74.94 a barrel.

Latest comments

Maybe if Target would quit upgrading their stores every few years, and pass that to added checkers and lower prices, people would buy more.
That's required to get all the trans and queer yuppies in the door...
Biden is a 100% bluff. Debt ceiling Republicans proposed, he'll sign.
republicans are holding us hostage to protect billionaires. simple. if you are a billionaire vote red
hi gab, using alternative name again I see
Wow youre a genius
it looks like many small companies have to file bankruptcy protection due to inability to compete with big ones
always, nothing new
It sounds like debt limit pessimism
Joe Biden - Stealing money from the future since 1972.
is he the only one?  or are you still trying to sell us the fantasy that republicans are somehow the fiscal responsible party, even after Ronny Reagan tripled the national debt, Bush Jr doubled it, and Trump adding $8T to it in just 4 years?
 no need to call rob names just because he is confused
1972! that's a long time even among career politicians. Joe doesn't even know where he is but he can still steal money from our children. can we get some term limits or something?
Lets be honest, the US is insolvent. If this was an individual or company they would have to declare bankruptcy
a long time ago
US is hardly alone, Japan and Italy have even higher debt-gdp ratios than US, and UK/France/Canada are not that far behind US....
bankrupt since i remember 50 years ago. stop whining
Now create fear about debt celing talks but at the end of the day both Dem n Rep with hug each other happily profiting from the share market
Trims lolz....
United States not united.
more divided than ever since the Obama administration
US will continue to kick the can down the street for debt ceiling.. forever increase 🤡
Im moving The United States is no longer the United States.
yes, we all know a deal will be made of the debt ceiling like it always is, and no the US won't default as tax income is enough to service debt anyway. that why we have seen little reaction to anything to do with the deal ceiling from the makret barring the short term treasuries and cds. other than that the makrets really aren't bothered about it.
you are right
not yet. 2011 will repeat.
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