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Weekly Comic: China Economic Slowdown Threatens to Spread

Published 01/24/2019, 08:45 AM
Updated 01/24/2019, 08:45 AM

Investing.com - Market focus this week was largely attuned to signs that an economic slowdown in China was spreading, fueling fears over the outlook for the global economy.

China's fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) grew at the slowest pace since the global financial crisis, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Monday, easing to 6.4% on-year.

That pulled full-year growth down to 6.6%, the slowest annual pace since 1990, as faltering domestic demand and bruising U.S. tariffs weighed.

Analysts at Capital Economics warned that China's economic slowdown looks set to be of a similar scale to that in 2015-16, though there are some significant differences so far, most notably less downward pressure on the yuan and no signs of major capital outflows.

"Against a backdrop of various concerns about other economies, weakness in China adds to reasons to expect a marked global slowdown," they wrote in a note.

Indeed, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) trimmed its 2019 global growth forecast on Monday - its second downgrade in just three months - citing a bigger-than-expected slowdown in China and the eurozone.

The IMF added that a failure to resolve trade tensions could further destabilize a slowing global economy.

"Trade tensions are the most dominant factor for investor sentiment right now and will drive market flows," said Nick Twidale, chief operating officer at Rakuten Securities.

-- Reuters contributed to this report

Latest comments

it seems very idiotic to be worried about china at 6.4% vs usa at 2 or even 0 this quarter.
high debt is going to be big issue since stimulation will do less impact
It now takes more and more just to keep even. Its no different than when you flip a quater into the air. Starts our strong, slows, eventually stops, then starts the decent slow and picking up speed. The world, not just the US is at the Stop at the peak point. At this point only rigging and words are keeping the markets where they are. Just a matter of a short while before the World outlook becomes a reality, not just a report of a future state.
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