Q3 Earnings Alert: These are the most overvalued right nowSee Overvalued Stocks

Dollar rebounds as yields rise, consumer confidence improves

Published 05/27/2024, 08:55 PM
Updated 05/28/2024, 03:40 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A trader shows U.S. dollar notes at a currency exchange booth in Peshawar, Pakistan December 3, 2018. REUTERS/Fayaz Aziz/File Photo
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
AUD/USD
-
NZD/USD
-
BTC/USD
-
ETH/USD
-

By Karen Brettell

(Reuters) -The dollar gained on Tuesday, giving back earlier losses, as benchmark U.S. Treasury yields hit a four-week high following some weak auctions.

The Treasury Department saw soft demand for sales of two-year and five-year notes. They came after data showed that U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly improved in May after deteriorating for three straight months.

“The bond market has turned around today and the dollar with it,” said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive in Toronto, citing the weak auctions and noting that the improving consumer confidence report reflects “stronger growth.”

U.S. economic data was better than expected in the first quarter and so far there are no major signs of deterioration in areas such as the labor market, which some traders are waiting on before taking a more bearish view on the greenback.

Concerns that inflation will remain stubbornly above the Fed’s target for longer are also providing some support for the U.S. currency. Tuesday’s data showed that worries about inflation persisted and many households expected higher interest rates over the next year.

Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari said on Tuesday that the U.S. central bank should wait for significant progress on inflation before cutting interest rates and added that the central bank could potentially even hike rates if inflation fails to come down further.

Consumer price inflation showing that prices increased less than expected in April briefly boosted hopes that the Fed is closer to cutting rates, but Fed officials have stressed that they want to see several more months of progress before easing policy.

“The Fed is in no rush to cut rates,” said Button. He added, “the American economy is uniquely strong. It's tough to bet against the U.S. dollar until the weakness is confirmed.”

This week’s main U.S. economic focus will be personal consumption expenditures due on Friday, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation measure.

The dollar index was last up 0.03% at 104.59, after earlier dropping to 104.33. The euro gained 0.01% to $1.0859. Sterling weakened 0.05% to $1.276.

The European Central Bank's Francois Villeroy de Galhau on Monday confirmed market expectations that, barring major surprises, a first rate cut next week is a done deal. But investors have recently updated their bets on future ECB moves, pricing in less than a cut in every quarter in 2024 and early 2025.

German inflation data due on Wednesday and the wider euro zone's reading on Friday will be watched for clues on how soon easing from the central bank could come.

The greenback gained 0.18% against the Japanese yen to 157.15 yen.

The Bank of Japan's three key measurements of underlying inflation all fell below 2% in April for the first time since August 2022, data showed on Tuesday, heightening uncertainty over the timing of its next interest rate hike.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A trader shows U.S. dollar notes at a currency exchange booth in Peshawar, Pakistan December 3, 2018. REUTERS/Fayaz Aziz/File Photo

The BOJ will proceed cautiously with inflation-targeting frameworks, Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Monday, noting that some challenges are "uniquely difficult" for Japan after years of ultra-easy monetary policy.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 2.48% to $67,860.42.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.