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U.S. retail sales climb by 3.0% in January

Published 02/15/2023, 08:27 AM
Updated 02/15/2023, 08:32 AM
© Reuters

By Scott Kanowsky

Investing.com -- Retail sales in the U.S. grew by more than expected to begin the year, in a sign that consumers' willingness to spend may be increasing thanks in part to a tight labor market and a slight moderation in inflation.

According to new numbers from the Commerce Department on Wednesday, seasonally adjusted retail sales in the world's largest economy climbed by 3.0% in January on a monthly basis to $697 billion, rebounding from a decline of 1.1% in December. Economists had estimated that the figure would rise by 1.8%.

Spending at gasoline stations remained flat versus December but jumped by 5.7% compared to January 2022. Meanwhile, discretionary expenditures, which include money shelled out at restaurants and for items like electronics, also broadly increased.

The reading comes after data on Tuesday showed that inflation edged down marginally to 6.4% year-on-year in January, following a series of aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. However, inflation still accelerated month-on-month.

Meanwhile, nonfarm payrolls grew by 517,000 through the middle of the month, abruptly snapping a four-month trend of slowing job gains. Analysts had expected a further slowdown to 185,000, which would have been the slowest job growth in nearly two years.

December's payroll data was also revised up by 37,000 and November's by 34,000, reinforcing the surprise in the January numbers. As such, the numbers provided further evidence that a labor market that overheated as the pandemic eased is still only slowly losing steam.

Latest comments

so if inflation is over 6 and sales increase by 3, did sales rise or fall?
If month over month retail sales are up by 3.0% and month over month inflation is up 0.5%, did sales rise or fall? Pay attention.
as tricky as they are, the magician of Oz would say dincrease...😂
Yeah, math is tricky.
Apes. Every shit bothering 'em.
Relative wealth going up as long as US is exporting inflation. So no surprise here. Surprise going to come, when overseas orders for US company products will go down the drain
  US inflation rate was stable at around 5% for 1/3 year in mid-2021, before spiking up to >9% in mid 2021, to dipping back down to 6.4% now.  Correlate that w/ when Kremlin massed troops and restricted energy/food exports, w/ the CCP covid shutdowns & re-openings, & w/ Ukraine successful counteroffensives.
 US inflation rate was stable at around 5% for 1/3 year in mid-2021, before spiking up to >9% in mid 2021 to dipping back down to 6.4% now.
  US inflation rate was stable at around 5% for 1/3 year in mid 2021, before spiking up to >9% in mid 2021 to dipping back down to 6.4% now.  Now correlate that with when Russia massed troops and restricted energy/food exports, with CCP covid shutdowns & re-openings, & with Ukraine successful counteroffensives.
Sales data are nominal. Oh.
Is this bullish or bearish stocks?
   Yes, short term.   That's why I said "uptrend in the morning".  So far proven bullish for the afternoon, too.
  I think the market is already expecting the job & PPI data tomorrow 8:30 am to be slightly bad, so I'm neutral to lightly bullish for rest of week.
I can agree with that. Seeing now how markets have reacted to sales report markets will most likely be flat. Unfertain if they will be down 25bp or up 25bp, but it’ll be one of the two.
Is this what they call stagflation?
tends to happen over time as the population goes up. but the participation rate is the same as February last year still nfp printed over 4 mullion in the same time. nfp numbers just manipulated using outdated estimating/adjustment techniques. and although it won't bother the market much we will probably see large revisions to last years data as time goes on just like thier q2 revision. also the respondent rate for nfp has dropped massively over the last year.
  Yes, it "tends to happen over time as the population goes", but Ronald said "Work force data has been manipulated down over the year", and the work force has not shrunk.  Participation rate is at post-Q2 2020 high.
I'm what kind of mind is a public correction of a single quarters number evidence of some kind of manipulation? That's transparency and accuracy, not manipulation.
Why is the bank reserve rate still zero?
Inflation adjusted? Also isn’t credit card debt at an all time high?
Credit card debt is high and default rates are creeping up
You are so funny — cannot abide any good news for America. January inflation was 0.5%. I'm sure you can find some way to tell us why a 3% increase in retail sales minus a 0.5% increase in prices bad news.
Household net worth is also high.
We have historical the worst FED chair in covid crisis. US economy will be deeply cut by inflation and many of them comes from Mr. Powell's fault. He always do something wrong when he needs not to. RIP US Economy. FED will anyway cut inflation after great suffer of people.
Tightening is terrible policy? Isn't it exactly what is called for now?
Ppl betting against America because they are confusing people with mindsets like yours with those of the majority of ppl
"historical the worst FED chair in covid crisis" --  What "historical"?  Powell is the 1st and only "Fed Chair in covid crisis".
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