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U.S. adds more jobs than expected in August, unemployment rate rises

Published 09/01/2023, 08:28 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- The U.S. economy added more jobs than projected in August, while wage gains slowed and the unemployment rate unexpectedly ticked higher, complicating the case for the Federal Reserve to keep borrowing costs on hold at its next policy meeting.

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 187,000 during the month after a heavily downwardly revised reading of 157,000 in July, according to Labor Department numbers on Friday. Economists had called for a rise of 170,000.

Average hourly earnings growth moderated slightly month-on-month to 0.2% from 0.4%, and the unemployment rate in the world's largest economy accelerated to 3.8%.

The mixed jobs report muddles the emerging picture of a slowing, albeit tight, U.S. job market.

U.S. private payrolls increased by 177,000 in August, well below forecasts of 195,000. Nevertheless, other data showed that there were 1.51 job openings for every unemployed person in July. While the figure fell slightly from 1.54 in June, it remained well above the range of 1.0 to 1.2 that analysts say will mitigate inflationary pressures.

Fed policymakers are likely on the lookout for indications that a cooling in the labor market is continuing, although not to the point where it threatens broader economic activity.

Curtailing labor demand and moderating wage growth has been a major pillar of the Fed's long-standing campaign of rate hikes, with policymakers hoping that these trends may help to bring down inflation closer to their 2% objective. Despite estimates that the central bank may soon begin to back away from the cycle, it is still uncertain what the Fed will do after its gathering this month.

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In any event, the Fed has said it will be "data-dependent" heading into its two-day meeting from September 19-20.

On Thursday, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, edged up as anticipated on an annual basis in July. Month-on-month, the PCE number held steady, pointing to a potential easing in price pressures. Meanwhile, the rate of household spending ticked higher, suggesting continued resilience in the wider economy despite the recent surge in interest rates.

Following this week's data, traders have widely stuck to their bets that the Fed will keep borrowing costs unchanged later this month. According to Investing.com's Fed Rate Monitor Tool, there is currently only a one-in-ten chance that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points at the meeting.

"The US August jobs report shows modest jobs growth, benign wage pressures and a large jump in the unemployment rate as the [labor] market slackens," analysts at ING said in a note. "With inflation set to continue slowing, the Fed is surely not hiking interest rates in September."

Latest comments

jonikhan
so cibai data?
Uh-huh.
Yet again, more data to annoy the America haters and chaos agents.
buy more btc
precious metals are a far more reliable store of value.
Wow
yeah it's probably fake  who cares indices will end this week higher
the MM won't want to pay out on all the call options just above this morning's opening level, so likely to end the week now lower than todays open
SOP on Friday
WOW. Talk about manipulated data. Unemployed went up but jobs went up... makes perfect sense
and another major revision to the previous month's - major revisions are now the norm, so why anyone pays any attention to this rubbish, is beyond me
Numbers are revised down from last month Just like these numbers will be revised down- it’s all fake under this administration- nothing but lies- What are talk of peace and NO WAR? Not from these leaders - how many are dead in Ukraine? 200k Ukrainian dead or more? Stop the killing and talk about a peaceful resolution
"Stop the killing and talk about a peaceful resolution"  -- maybe you should ask your boss Vlad Putin about that?
 it's carnage - and the western media is not telling you that - you cant believe the western propaganda - I have friends in Kiev - they see whats happening and it's not pleasant
 of course it's not pleasant, when a country tries to fight back against a larger country's invading army, everyday you see news report about the missle/drone attacks and ukrainian counter offensive....only the voices in your mind is telling you the media is not covering it
cibai data
Cooling down, optimism is rising. Are u insane? Look at the 10-2 years... Totally inverse for a year. Every news is good for the market, no matter what. This Will end really ugly someday.
"This Will end really ugly someday."  -- someday, sure, historical trend shows there is a recession every 10 years, so sure, if I keep predicting a recession then once in a decade my prediction will come true
I Guess you sholdn't wait for it that long.
Last year October SPY was 3600, CPI 8 and rates 3. Now SPY 4500, CPI 4 and rates 5,25. Make IT any sense? Dont U see any weird?
the numbers mean nothing these days they spend it revise it to whatever the hell they want to for their agenda FML in my opinion especially the Fed. remember the FED is appointed he's not elected hint hint...
Job openings are fake.
yep, part time ads with jobs that dont' really eksist
You're fake.
They will probably revise this number lower as they have in recent months
More jobs means resilient economy .......and the sock puppet analysts will claim Fed will pause the rate hike due to increase unemployment rate......... either way its bullish
why the economy created more jobs but the unemployment rate increasing ?
The number should be in 300-350k range to have the unemployment stable, just to keep up with population growth. A number below 300 means increase in unemployment.
That is because many people has more than one job.
Cautiously optimistic news.....
The number will be interpreted by the media as positive for the market. This means any number. Some folks could really get used to this and stop the market crash predictions already.
Bidenomics is working.
its positive ys nagativ
pump and dump
given a very tight leeway in front of Fed due to the coming elections, I would tighten now and give myself the option to let go later
Next month non-farm payrolls for August will again be heavily downwardly revised... it has been for months like that...
the fix is in. look over there 🫳 not behind the curtain
ups!!!!
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