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Oil Up; Weak U.S. Draws, White House Pressure on OPEC Limit Gains

Published 08/11/2021, 01:37 PM
Updated 08/11/2021, 02:51 PM
© Reuters.

(Updates with Biden comments, WTI settlement)

By Barani Krishnan

Investing.com - Oil prices rose on Wednesday, helping market longs extend their recovery from a dismal week. But gains were limited somewhat by disappointing drawdowns in U.S. stockpiles.

The market was also under pressure briefly after President Joe Biden pushed the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, to boost production faster than the current pace of 400,000 barrels per month planned by the 23-nation group. 

“We've told OPEC that the output cuts implemented during the pandemic should be overturned,” Biden told a White House media briefing.

Analysts, however, said they weren’t sure how much success the administration would have in pressuring OPEC+, especially with crude prices having declined about 10% or more from this year’s highs amid waning summer demand for oil and a renewed spike in Covid cases. 

“The belief that higher prices are harming the recovery and the current pace isn't sufficient is behind the push,” Craig Erlam, analyst at OANDA, said, referring to the maneuver by Washington.

Erlam noted that OPEC+ was no stranger to the White House trying to interfere in its decision making process, with former president Donald Trump being a constant critic of the group during his term.

“It's clear that pressure is going to ramp up. How that will go down in the group is another thing,” Erlam said. “Some will be more than happy to increase production faster while others may be more reluctant after a prolonged period of very low prices.”

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New York-traded U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude, the benchmark for U.S. oil, settled up 96 cents, or 1.4%, at $69.25 per barrel. WTI lost 7.7% last week, its sharpest weekly loss since October 2020.

London-traded Brent, the global benchmark for oil, rose 85 cents, or 1.2%, to $71.48 per barrel by 2:50 PM ET (18:50 GMT). Brent lost 7.4% last week.

Weekly consumption in U.S. crude oil and gasoline was less than expected during the week ended July 6, data from the Energy Information Administration showed, as demand slid in the twilight stretch of summer and amid a renewed spike in coronavirus infections. 

U.S. crude inventories fell by 448,000 barrels in the week to August 6, the EIA said in its Weekly Petroleum Status Report. Analysts tracked by Investing.com had expected a drawdown of 750,000 barrels instead.

The EIA reported a smaller-than-expected crude draw as U.S. imports declined by 36,000 barrels per day from the previous week. But exports of U.S crude spiked by almost 760,000 bpd to 2.66 million. That suggested 

Production of U.S. crude, on the other hand, rose by 100,000 bpd to 11.3 million.

 Gasoline stockpiles also fell less than expected, sliding by 1.4 million barrels against a forecast 2 million, the EIA data showed.

Distillates, which include diesel and heating oil, had the best numbers of the lot, drawing down by almost 1.8 million versus an expected 500,000 barrels.

Latest comments

“We've told OPEC that the output cuts implemented during the pandemic should be overturned,” pfff ahahahahahhaha! OPEC: "pffff ahahahahhaha! ... wait wait... now, seriously.... pfffhahahahahhaha!"
I always enjoy your analyses and find them very helpful, Mr. Krishnan.  I can't help my scepticism when it comes to the government inferring with pricing.  If OPEC+ agrees to pump more, I can just imagine the outcome ... the price of crude crashes, gasoline prices drop and the U.S. government comes out looking like Robin Hood who's there to help the little guy needing cheaper gas, but in the process destroys retail investor's portfolios.
Truly appreciate the compliment and the fact that you've benefited from what I do, Jeremy. Indeed, the White House would look quite heroic if OPEC says we'll put out more barrels because President Biden wants them. To me, it's both political and business for the Saudis and the Russians. Here, MbS might be tempted to give Biden something as quid-pro-quo but not sure if Putin feels as charitable. Also, you're absolutely right: If OPEC announces even 50k barrels more (let alone 100k, which still might not be enough), the price could immediately fall by another $5 per barrel. The shoe that hasn't dropped yet is the Iranian one. I don't think Iran will be able to flood the market overnight if they EVER get that deal nuclear deal. What they will be able to do instead is annoy the ***out of the Saudis by simply doing everything to disrupt them and the UAE. The Saudi-Russian hegemony within OPEC might be at stake once the Iranians get that deal.
I always enjoy your analyses and find them very helpful, Mr. Krishnan.  I can't help my scepticism when it comes to the government inferring with pricing.  If OPEC+ agrees to pump more, I can just imagine the outcome ... the price of crude crashes, gasoline prices drop and the U.S. government comes out looking like Robin Hood who's there to help the little guy needing cheaper gas, but in the process destroys retail investor's portfolios.
I invested in Tesla back in 2016,I was very much a bear. My reasoning was simple: Tesla was trying to do what no American auto market had done so far: Develop and sell a mass-market electric vehicles. It was trying to do what no American company had done in nearly a century: start up a successful new also manufacturing business. To take it a step further,I brought 40 shares from Tasla miners, investing about $1800 in total with part of the proceeds from 401(k) rollover. At the $980 per share price I sold at, that's a realized profit of almost $35,000! It may not be life-changing money, but it's an incredible return nonetheless, now I'm working with 3 asset gold silver and crypto all are good, but crypto investment is the mother of all, crypto has follow this pattern for sometime now: it dips and get everyone scared the after retesting and old resistance several times we wake up one day to see it is bullish. This period is the buffet time to buy the dip and accumulated irrespective of
Thanks for that perspective, Rita.
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