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Oil flat on week as U.S. inventories rise but Russia cuts supply

Published 02/23/2023, 10:01 PM
Updated 02/24/2023, 03:31 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pump jacks operate at sunset in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford/File Photo

By Laila Kearney

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil edged higher in volatile trade on Friday, and was flat on the week, with prices supported by the prospect of lower Russian exports but pressured by rising inventories in the United States and concerns over global economic activity.

Brent crude futures settled at $83.16 a barrel, up 95 cents, or 1.2%. West Texas Intermediate U.S. crude futures (WTI) settled at $76.32 a barrel, rising 93 cents, or 1.2%. Earlier, both fell by more than $1 a barrel.

The benchmarks were little changed on the week.

Lower trading volumes contributed to volatility, with Brent trading at 58% and WTI trading at 90% of the previous session's levels.

On the anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, benchmark Brent crude was about 15% lower than a year earlier. It hit a 14-year high of nearly $128 a barrel on Mar. 8, 2022.

Both benchmarks rose about 2% in the previous session on Russia's plans to cut oil exports from its western ports by up to 25% in March, which exceeded its announced production cuts of 500,000 barrels per day.

But the market appeared to be well supplied with U.S. inventories at their highest since May 2021, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. [EIA/S]

An indicator of future supply, U.S. oil rigs fell seven to 600 this week, while the total count was still up 103 rigs, or 15.8%, over this time last year, energy services firm Baker Hughes Co said.

Indications that Russian crude and refined products are accumulating on tankers floating at sea also hinted at increasing supplies.

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JP Morgan said in a note that it thinks short-term prices are more likely to drift lower toward the $70s than rise "as global growth headwinds strengthen and excess ‘dark’ inventory exacerbated by a flooding of Russian oil is worked off".

The bank also said it expects the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to cut production to limit oil price declines.

Minutes of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve meeting indicated that a majority of officials remained hawkish on inflation and tight labour market conditions, signalling further monetary tightening.

The prospect of further interest rate hikes supported the dollar index, which was set for a fourth straight week of gains. The index is now up about 2.5% for the month. [FRX/]

"While... curtailed Russian supply are certainly formidable bullish considerations, price action across the complex this month has sent off a powerful message that rising US interest rates that were further reinforced by Fed minutes, will be a major impediment to sustainable oil price strength," said Jim Ritterbusch of consultancy Ritterbusch and associates..

A firm dollar makes commodities priced in the greenback more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Latest comments

so far ...the Russian oil producers are having trouble finding enough oil tankers to transport the oil that have already been producing...
is that because they are using them as floating storage?
Ken when it comes to oil production, the Russians have a history of saying one thing and doing the opposite..
Mainwhile putin talks up the price by saying he will cut production…but he pumps all the oil he can sell
i hope rusian cut more than 500K
I don't know why Russian cutting output should affect oil prices at this stage, it's not like anyone in the oil industry don't know this is going to happen sooner or later, with Russia losing its biggest customers in Europe, everyone knows not even China/India's increase purchases can make up all the difference........
i walk barefoot, eat fish with coconut nets, sleep outside and collect rain water so im good
Good. Enjoying nature's blessing in true sense. Be happy.👍
Up for the inflation , out of control? Why go down and say worries of rate hike the other day , ahaha
Putin should cut production 3 mil barrel's a day and frag the western economies with inflation, selling 4 mil barrels at 120 verse 7 at 50 will help his GOP pals in 2024
Russia are not getting market prices for its oil, China and India are getting a huge discount since they know Russia doesn't have a lot of options so they have the leverage and have extracted something like 20-30% discount in their increase purchases from Russia
 you seem to misunderstand - all the other oil is contracted elsewhere - asia is in the spot europe was in a year ago - only so much oil - last years market was skewed by the huge SPDR releases - that option is for the most part off the table now - Putin closes the tap now inflation will skyrocket which is good for putin because the west will whine like mad when the pump price in the US is what the EU is paying now - and the leverage china and other have will diminish when there demand goes up
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