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Oil reverses course as economic uncertainty offsets debt deal optimism

Published May 29, 2023 09:51PM ET Updated May 29, 2023 11:43PM ET
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Investing.com -- Oil prices reversed early gains to trade lower on Tuesday as fears of more interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and slowing economic growth largely offset optimism over raising the U.S. debt ceiling.

Anticipation of more economic cues from major oil importer China also kept traders on edge, ahead of key manufacturing and service sector data for May due on Wednesday.

Brent oil futures fell 0.6% to $76.62 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 0.4% to $72.39 a barrel by 23:41 ET (03:41 GMT). Both contracts had initially risen as much as 0.9%.

Crude markets settled slightly higher after a choppy session on Monday, aided largely by the diminishing prospect of a U.S. debt default after lawmakers flagged a tentative deal to raise the spending limit. 

But fears of a more hawkish Fed, especially after hotter-than-expected inflation data released late last week, kept sentiment cautious. A stronger dollar also limited any major gains in crude.

Markets are now awaiting fresh cues for movement, starting with more economic signals from China due later this week. Business activity data for May is expected to show whether an economic rebound in the country slowed further during the month, after a string of weak readings for April.

Signs of a slowing economic rebound in China saw oil traders second guess expectations that a recovery in the world’s largest oil importer will drive global crude demand to record highs this year. Chinese oil imports also sank through April. 

Fresh cues on supply from a meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries are due next week, following somewhat mixed signals from Saudi Arabia and Russia on more production cuts. The cartel and its allies had unexpectedly cut oil production in April, providing a short-lived boost to prices.

Focus is also on a string of U.S. economic readings this week, most notably nonfarm payrolls data for May due on Friday. Any signs of resilience in the labor market give the Fed more impetus to hike interest rates, and could offer negative cues to oil markets.

Despite recent gains, oil prices are still trading down over 5% for the year, amid consistent fears that worsening economic conditions will dent demand.

 
Oil reverses course as economic uncertainty offsets debt deal optimism
 

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Comments (11)
Andrew Ulferts
Andrew Ulferts May 30, 2023 8:51AM ET
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These are oil investors’ opinions below. So who’s uncertainty and fear are we talking about? Who feeds these narratives? Oil investors have never been more bullish on our trades, it is the shorts, aided by fake news that drag us down. We all see it.
Steve Cao
Steve Cao May 30, 2023 4:10AM ET
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How much do you get paid to write the fear to scare traders???!!!
Derick Lim
Derick Lim May 30, 2023 3:08AM ET
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Seems like the more fear manipulative news are spewed the higher the stocks rallies ......
Ndrew Wen
Ndrew Wen May 29, 2023 11:53PM ET
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When inventory build 3-6Mbpd WTi goes down $5-6. Last week -12Mbpd it only up $1. Data is surely manipulated now.
Ndrew Wen
Ndrew Wen May 29, 2023 11:51PM ET
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Every day fear fear fear, so boring. We dont need fears anymore. Just let it up.
Ndrew Wen
Ndrew Wen May 29, 2023 11:50PM ET
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Totally bullshit of fears. Every week, just spam and get 1 dollar for each fears news.
Brad Albright
Brad Albright May 29, 2023 11:50PM ET
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Keep thinking.
Lio Gutierrez
Lio Gutierrez May 29, 2023 11:19PM ET
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fed rate fears, recession fears, default fears,covid fears, rinse and repeat every week.
Andrew Thompson
Andrew Thompson May 29, 2023 11:00PM ET
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Simply put, markets ran up alot last week. So fresh reports of 'fears' are needed to temper the gains.
Kevin Pe
Kevin Pe May 29, 2023 10:29PM ET
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Every week something new to fear.
Brian Dodge
Brian Dodge May 29, 2023 10:29PM ET
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if anything, the entire press created bullish case around a budget deal is meaningless. the economy is not going to improve any time soon
dylan mulvaney
dylan mulvaney May 29, 2023 10:04PM ET
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Oil companies love Biden, driving the price of gas and energy through the roof at the expense of the lower and middle class.
Paul Browning
Paul Browning May 29, 2023 10:04PM ET
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The price of oil is now the same as it was in Jan 2019.
Paul Browning
Paul Browning May 29, 2023 10:04PM ET
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Sorry Jan 2018
dylan mulvaney
dylan mulvaney May 29, 2023 10:04PM ET
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Paul Browning  Nice attempt at gaslighting, I said oil COMPANIES. Oil companies reporting record profits and price of gas much her than 2019.
Brian Dodge
Brian Dodge May 29, 2023 10:04PM ET
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now do see December 2019. and it will not be going lower unless Biden drives the economy into a ditch. you also might be avoiding the fact that Biden has continued to sell the spr down so 4 decade lows through May. I wonder why oil price has stayed low.
Brian Dodge
Brian Dodge May 29, 2023 10:04PM ET
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Math. geniuses littering the left
 
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