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Gold Tumbles 3%+; Safe Haven Not so Safe

Published 02/28/2020, 01:04 PM
Updated 02/28/2020, 01:08 PM
© Reuters.

By Barani Krishnan

Investing.com – With world markets crashing and burning over the coronavirus crisis, the one asset that’s supposed to be protecting investors is letting them down.

Gold tumbled more than 3% on Friday, joining the carnage in oil and on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 headed for its worst weekly slump since the financial crisis of 2008.

Gold futures for April delivery on New York’s COMEX were down $57.50, or 3.5%, at $1,585 per ounce, falling off the key $1,600 berth. The last time a benchmark gold futures lost more in a day was in February 2018, when it slumped 4.6%. For the current week, the contract lost 3.7%. But for the month it managed to stay flat and in the positive.

Spot gold, which tracks live trades in bullion, was at $1,585.55, down about 3.5% or more on both the day and week and about 0.3% lower on the month.

Gold was a safe haven that many investors piled into over the past month as tremors over the coronavirus crisis slowly built. Earlier this week, the yellow metal hit seven-year highs just short of $1,700, raising hopes that it might have a shot later in the year at cracking the $1,900 record high.

Yet over the past four sessions, both gold futures and bullion descended into the red, before finally tumbling on Friday. Two reasons were cited by analysts: higher margin calls imposed on gold traders and selling by hedge funds to cover losses elsewhere.

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“Why are we not at $1,700 on gold? That’s because hedge funds do not want a disastrous February performance and need to sell winning gold positions to counter their losing stock holdings,” said Ed Moya at New York-based online trading platform OANDA.

Others exited because of higher margin calls imposed on gold trades, which meant “they need cash to stay or they need to leave,” said George Gero, managing director at RBC Wealth Management.

Still, there were buillish hopes that after Friday’s shakeout, gold would attempt a return to $1,600.

“Gold should start showing signs of life regardless of what stocks do over the next couple weeks,” Moya said. “If panic selling with stocks continues next week, gold will likely reassert its safe-haven status or if markets show signs of stabilizing, we could see the broad based commodity plunge ease.”

Latest comments

When i saw gold tumble it was the sign to go long in stocks. For me it meant anxiety was overacting. Of course the Corona story influences economy but it does also something else; it makes us stronger against risks; while working and thinking together we can win about everything.
If this is a repat of 08, liquidty is going to dry up and all assets incluidng gold will get beat down for several months before surging my guesss is that this time around the fed is quicker to drop rates and provide liquidity and metals will react bullish as a protection against inflation
When the market does this for a week and so fast everything gets soldIncluding gold yo margin calls. They would sell the furnture if necessary
someone asking me do you know law of economic, buying gold during this crisis is not always true and win win. learn your lesson.
This article cleared up my confusion.  I was wondering where the money is going if it's not on gold, stocks or bonds.  The hedge funds are liquidating their positions, not because they are skeptical of golds earning potential, but because they are so in the red elsewhere that they need to cover their losses for customers.  Their combined positions have a lot of pull on the price.
are there any contributors that aren’t complete hacks here?
I have been following your comments and find you to be contravening our forum guidelines on many occasions. So, here's some friendly advice for you: Watch your language, especially your propensity to use the "s" word and other derogatory terms. The administrators here have very little tolerance towards such language. If you have nothing intelligent to say, don't say it. Thank you.
I watch gold, silver, platinum on one minute charts, from the European markets open till Americans close. For more than 2 years. And I must say, it's quite amazing how sellers of those metals, sell at the excactly same time during the day. BS.. it's the big investmentbanks and funds on wall street that together with their bots can manipulate the markets like this, probably to make the dollar and oil look more attractive. They want a strong dollar, to buy what ever they are buying today.
defying logic
fcel
I'm so thankful for gold royalties....
We advise to keep holding Short positions in Gold as demand will the hit most in major consumer china and india due to coronavirus.
Wrong, your short position will get torched.
Buck Jr Garey five FDIC
How many of the the are piling into VIX instead of gold? Another situation where ordinary people lose out so they can profit big gains.
Some are selling to cover other loses but also BIS and BOJ dumped large contracts to decrease the price of gold. It will come back.
The monthly candle suggests that GOLD itself should start looking for safe haven...  There's nowhere to hide!
Fed tipped their hand. Massive printing Monday to be flushed into stocks before they resume downward.
Investors are dumping gold lol
China selling off probably, swapping out to fixed income streams
Great buy.
some argue MMs are selling gold/miners to catch up for the riskier asset losses. I can not justify that to be honest. So to say, they are selling hard the precious metals and miners at a loss to buy other falling knife stocks/assets?..
:-)
At the beginning of the 08 financial crisis, both gold and silver were sell of before skyrocket for 2 years, so its a normal movement when investors are selling to collect cash to avoid margin call. Logic.
Uowww.
indeed!
Simple fed manipulation not good
no its nooooot
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