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Gold Sees First Forgettable Weekly Gain Since Losing $1,900 Perch

Published 06/25/2021, 03:52 PM
Updated 06/25/2021, 04:20 PM

By Barani Krishnan

Investing.com - Gold clinched on Friday its first weekly gain in four and since its unceremonious fall from $1,900 levels. But the difference was hardly something for longs in the yellow metal to crow about.

Front-month gold on New York’s Comex settled at $1,777.80, up just $1.10 or 0.1% on the day. The gain on the week was slightly less anemic, at $8.80 or 0.5%.

It was a woeful previous three weeks for gold longs who watched miserably as the benchmark futures contract in gold cascaded from five-month highs of just over $1,919 to a seven-week low of just above 1,761 at one point. That was a loss of almost $160 or more than 8%.

In Friday’s trade, the spot price of gold hovered at $1,779 late afternoon in New York. Traders and fund managers sometimes decide on the direction for gold by looking at the spot price — which reflects bullion for prompt delivery — instead of futures.

Conviction has become a rare commodity in gold as the average long investor tried to stay true to the yellow metal through its travails of the past six months.

Since January, gold has been on a tough ride that actually began in August last year — when it came off record highs above $2,000 and meandered for a few months before stumbling into a systemic decay from November, when the first breakthroughs in COVID-19 vaccine efficiencies were announced. At one point, gold raked a near 11-month bottom at under $1,674.

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Almost becoming a joke as well is the argument that gold was an effective hedge against inflation, or the best store of value in times of financial or political troubles.

The key U.S. inflation gauge monitored by the Federal Reserve rose for a third month in a row in May while personal income and consumer sentiment fell, according to data on Friday that demonstrated growing price pressures against weaker buying from Americans.

Cumulatively, that did bunk for gold, as most data on inflation and other insecurities have over the past few months.

“Gold will likely continue to stabilize going forward as the majority of Fed Chair Powell’s policymakers agree with him that inflation will be transitory,” Ed Moya, analyst at online broker OANDA, said.

Latest comments

Gold will rocket and the reasons are quite simple: Every time the CBOE SKEW index hit 138, the SP500 dropped 10% shortly thereafter. Whenever it reached 157, the SP500 dropped 20% immediately. Today, the CBOE has just reached a record of 170, which indicates proportionally an immediate drop of the SP500 by more than 28%.    However, there is an additional data: In July 2020, the agency Fitch Ratings had already signaled the downgrade of the US rating due to its growing deficit. In 2011, when the US lost the AAA rating, the SP500 dropped 20%.    Therefore, with the CBOE SKEW index hitting a record 170 today, we could see from next Monday an immediate drop in the SP500 of more than 40%.
I hear Chicken Little is looking for a replacement.
ooooh the hate!!!!
oh
Bash Gold all you want...its day to shine is coming. You should be encouraging investors to have some exposure to physical metals once this FED driven ponzi market implodes
also gold miners. NFG has been rocking. Last 2 months I started in the $3 range and has gone up past $11 in the past 2-3 months.
Thanks I appreciate you comment...you just don't see many pro gold articles on this site and especially now with increasing inflation which the FED has incorrectly understated to protect markets and the dollar. Gold investment should be encouraged at this point.
I would encourage buying of physical gold, Stan, not paper that your JPM and Nova Scotia manipulate everyday.
Any comments on basel iii coming into effect on June 28 ?
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