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Crude Gets Closer to $90 Ahead of Key Stockpiles Data

Published 01/19/2022, 03:48 PM
Updated 01/19/2022, 03:48 PM
© Reuters.

By Barani Krishnan

Investing.com - Crude prices edged closer toward $90 per barrel on Wednesday as longs piled into a market hyped by talk of tight supply while awaiting inventory updates from the U.S. government, which has so far provided contrary demand data over the past two weeks.

The West Texas Intermediate benchmark for U.S. crude settled up $1.53, or 1.8%, at $86.96 per barrel for its highest close since October 2014. WTI is up almost 14% since the start of the year.

London-traded Brent, the global benchmark for oil, settled up 93 cents, or 1.1%, at $88.44 per barrel, after a seven-year high at $88.12. Like WTI, Brent is up more than 13% for 2022.

Wednesday’s rally, the fourth day in a row for oil, came ahead of weekly data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration on crude, gasoline and distillates inventories.

Ahead of the EIA report, due at 11:00 AM ET (16:00 GMT) on Thursday, the American Petroleum Institute will issue a snapshot at around 4:30 PM today of what last week’s stockpiles of crude and fuel products could have been.

According to industry analysts tracked by Investing.com, crude stockpiles fell by 1.904 million barrels last week on top of the 4.553 million-barrel reported by the EIA for the previous week to Jan. 7.

Gasoline stockpiles likely rose by 2.634 million barrels, on top of the previous week’s rise of 7.961 million. It would be the third straight spike in gasoline stockpiles that began with a 10.128 million-barrel build that was the the largest in 21 months.

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Distillates inventories were expected to have fallen by 850,000 barrels versus a previous build of 2.537 million build.

-Wednesday’s gains in oil after reports of a fire on a pipeline from Iraq to Turkey briefly stopped flows, increasing concerns about an already tight short term supply outlook.

The International Energy Agency, meanwhile, said in a report that the oil market was likely to flip into surplus in the first quarter as some producers are set to pump at or above all-time highs.

An oil surplus should also lead to a build-up in inventories, as the IEA reported that commercial stocks in OECD countries were well below pre-pandemic levels at around seven-year lows.

Latest comments

Bearish report.  Energy stocks not priced even close to $85 a barrel.  Granted hedges still hurting something will give.  I'm thinking oil prices fall a bit from here.
Crude: 1.404M, Gasoline: 3.463M ... if the EIA confirms a crude build tomorrow, I'd love to hear the "bull" defense that will come out of the long-only camp
 Same as it always is.  Oil price is forward looking. The perma bulls always have a reason why oil should be $100.  Isn't this typical build season anyway though?  I know the prediction was for a draw but I'm pretty sure we usually build in January.  Gasoline is tough right now with all the storms they've had in NE.  Could make a case everyone filled their tanks up beforehand which if true the build is bearish.
 Can't win against the firm, man. Once they decide, they will come out with any spin to keep the narrative alive. Anyway, let's see what the EIA reports tomorrow. Who knows? They might surprise with a crude draw, to put more powder in the bull keg.
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