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Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights: Mylan, Lilly, Pfizer, Novartis And Amgen

Published 11/03/2016, 09:30 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 01, 2016 – Today, Zacks Equity Research discusses the Pharmaceuticals, part 1, including Mylan (NASDAQ:MYL) (NASDAQ:MYLFree Report) , Lilly (NYSE:LLYFree Report) , Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) (NYSE:PFEFree Report), Novartis (NYSE:NVSFree Report) and Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN) (NASDAQ:AMGNFree Report) .

Industry: Pharmaceuticals, part 1

Link: https://www.zacks.com/ commentary/94802/pharma- industry-outlook---november- 2016

It’s been a rough year for pharma and biotech stocks with several factors weighing on the sector including media and political focus on the high price of drugs, mixed performance results, slower-than-expected new product launches and increasing competition.

The impact of these issues is more evident on biotech stocks, with the NASDAQ Biotechnology Index declining 20.9% year-to-date (YTD) while the NYSE ARCA Pharmaceutical Index has lost 10.9% YTD.

Drug Pricing to Remain in Focus

Right now, the biggest issue that is weighing on the sector is the political rhetoric regarding drug pricing. With presidential candidates, policymakers, the media and the general public focusing on the high price tags for drugs, the drug pricing controversy is not likely to die down easily.

In fact, the drug pricing issue heated up recently given the price hikes taken by Mylan (NASDAQ:MYLFree Report) for its life-saving combination product EpiPen. Democratic Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton announced a health care plan that will address the excessive price hikes of treatments that have been around for years and also reaffirmed her earlier broader plan, announced in Sep 2015, with the aim to lower drug prices for all Americans.

Insulin drugmakers like Lilly (NYSE:LLYFree Report) and Novo Nordisk (CO:NOVOb) are also under attack with Senator Bernie Sanders posting a series of tweets questioning the prices of their insulin drugs.

Will M&As Pick Up Pace?

With the major price correction resulting in reasonable valuations, expectations are high that more M&A deals will be announced in the coming quarters. So far in 2016, some of the announced/completed acquisitions include Shire-Baxalta, Bristol-Myers-Padlock, and Pfizer (NYSE:PFE Free Report) -Medivation, among others.

In fact, the Pfizer-Medivation deal, valued at approximately $14 billion, has raised hopes that major M&As will pick pace once elections are over while licensing deals and small bolt-on acquisitions will continue.

Several pharma companies are focusing on in-licensing mid-to-late stage pipeline candidates that look promising, instead of developing a product from scratch, which involves a lot of funds and time. Small biotech companies are open to such deals, with most of them finding it challenging to raise cash, thereby making it difficult to survive and continue with the development of promising pipeline candidates. Therefore, it makes sense to seek deals with pharma companies sitting on huge piles of cash.

Divestment of Non-Core Assets & Restructuring Activities

Another trend being witnessed is the divestment of non-core business segments. Companies like Pfizer, UCB, Novartis (NYSE:NVSFree Report) , Glaxo and AstraZeneca have all been a part of this trend. More recently, Sanofi (PA:SASY) is looking to divest its generics portfolio in Europe while Valeant is in discussions for various divestitures including the Salix business. The monetization of non-core assets allows these companies to focus on their areas of expertise.

Restructuring activities are also gaining momentum as large pharma companies look to cut costs and streamline operations. Most of these companies are re-evaluating their pipelines and discontinuing programs with an unfavorable risk-benefit profile.

New Products Should Gain Traction

Highly-awaited new products that gained approval last year should contribute significantly to revenues. Some of the important new product approvals include Vertex’s cystic fibrosis treatment, Orkambi, Amgen’s (NASDAQ:AMGNFree Report) heart failure treatment, Corlanor, Pfizer’s cancer treatment, Ibrance, Novartis’ psoriasis treatment, Cosentyx, PCSK9 inhibitors – Amgen’s Repatha and Sanofi/Regeneron’s Praluent, Roche’s advanced melanoma treatment, Cotellic and Gilead’s Genvoya (HIV).

Meanwhile, so far in 2016, the FDA has approved 19 new drugs including Zinplava (c. difficile infection), Lartruvo (soft tissue carcinoma), Exondys 51 (Duchenne muscular dystrophy), Epclusa (HCV), Ocaliva (rare, chronic liver disease), Zinbryta (multiple sclerosis), Tecentriq (urothelial cancer), Venclexta (chronic lymphocytic leukemia in patients with a specific chromosomal abnormality), Taltz (moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis), Cinqair (severe asthma) and Zepatier (HCV) among others. The FDA also expanded the label of cancer drugs like Kyprolis, Imbruvica and Xalkori.

Biosimilars Gaining Importance

With the FDA approving the first biosimilar in the U.S. (Zarxio, a biosimilar version of Amgen’s blockbuster drug, Neupogen), the floodgates have opened. While biosimilars have been available in the EU for quite a while, there was no regulatory pathway for biosimilars in the U.S.

The second biosimilar to gain approval in the U.S. was Pfizer and Celltrion’s Inflectra (infliximab-dyyb) with the reference product being Remicade.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.



MYLAN NV (MYL): Free Stock Analysis Report

LILLY ELI & CO (LLY): Free Stock Analysis Report

AMGEN INC (AMGN): Free Stock Analysis Report

PFIZER INC (PFE): Free Stock Analysis Report

NOVARTIS AG-ADR (NVS): Free Stock Analysis Report

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