Technical analyst Dave Chojnacki of Street One Financial kicks off the new trading week with a recap of Friday’s action and provides some technical insight as to where the markets could be headed in the near term.
Better than forecast Employment Numbers pushed equities higher at the opening bell on Friday. After the Europe close, prices spiked even higher as money was flowing back into Technology stocks again.
The Market was chopp last week and Friday was no different. The high flying Techs led the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) to significant gains in the session, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and S&P 500 had moderate gains.
At the close, the DJIA gained 0.44%, the SPX added 0.64%, and the NDX was up 1%. Breadth was positive, 2 to 1, on below average volume. ROC(10’s) advanced across the board.
RSI’s moved higher with the DJIA continuing to lead at 55.7. The SPX ended at 50.2 and the NDX at 46.2. The ARMS Index finished at 1.49, a bearish reading.
For the week, the major indices changed very little: the DJIA added 0.3%, the SPX inched up 2 points, and the NDX tacked on just 10 points.
The VIX ended at 11.19, moving lower by 0.03 of a point for the week.
Long term, the upside bias continues, however, the NDX has been pulling back since its high on June 8th. The DJIA and SPX have been trading sideways since their late May and early June highs, perhaps setting up for another leg up. Meanwhile, the recent choppy trade may be suggesting a near term top.
Short term, the bias also remains to the upside. The averages are comfortably above 50% retracement levels. Near term technicals have weakened, however, and we may see more downside. MACD’s continue below signal and the SPX and NDX have fallen below their 50D-SMA of 2414 and 5713, respectively.
Caution remains near term. Critical near term support remains at: DJIA-20553, SPX-2352, NDX-5568.
Europe is up in early trade Monday, and U.S. Futures are mixed in the pre-market. The only major economic report on tap today is the Labor Market Index at 10:00am.
The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:DIA) ETF rose $0.03 (+0.01%) in premarket trading Monday. Year-to-date, DIA has gained 8.37%, versus a 8.31% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.
DIA currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #5 of 76 ETFs in the Large Cap Value ETFs category.