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Time To Bottom-Fish The Gold Miners?

Published 07/21/2015, 08:38 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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HUI Overview 1996-2015

Mining stocks had a rough day yesterday to say the least. Popular mining ETF Market Vectors Gold Miners (ARCA:GDX) fell almost 11%, hitting all-time lows.

Does falling 10% or more happen very often? The above chart looks at the Gold BUGS Index (HUI) and focuses at times when it fell 10% or more in a single day. As you can see, this happened several times during the financial crisis. Often, people think owning gold or mining stocks during a time of crisis is a good idea. This sure wasn’t true during the financial crisis!

If one is inclined to do some bottom fishing, what should one look for? One thing to look for would be a reversal pattern or a bullish wick following a large decline in the mining sector. I would also pay close attention to the Gold/Silver ratio as well as the GDX/GDXJ ratio.

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