Main Risks For US Indices

www.investing.com/analysis/there-main-risks-for-us-indexes-200212451

By Inna Rosputnia | Sep 11, 2017 05:46AM ET

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Last week all US indexes drifted lower, as we predicted it. There are 3 main fundamental reasons that influence the markets now.

Tension with Northern Korea. Still we can see an escalation of this conflict, that is the main risk for markets and world peace.
Concern about tax reform. Investors are loosing their faith, that Trump can realize his promises.
Hurricane. We will see a lot of volatility this week, specially in insurance sector and specially, when we will get some numbers and calculations of damages. Florida is a tourism state and hurricane hurts local economy. To recover infrastructure Florida will need an aid from the Federal government.

So, over middle term, we think these fundamental factors will continue to pressure the markets. But over the short term we will get opportunities for going long as well.

This week, we are waiting for main US economic reports: Producer Prices, Consumer Prices, Weekly Unemployment Claims and Retail Sales. But our main attention is given to economic impact of Hurricane Irma.

Another interesting instrument is DAX 30, that showed it's strength last week and it's not surprise. Strong economical data supports upper movement. It looks like most safety among all stock markets, but there is also some risks, like Norhern Korea conflict and coming elections in Germany. Any way, we preffer to take buy signals in DAX, as we expect it will continue to go up and can reach 12 500 and 13 000 given enough time.

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Central Banks

Interest Rates

Next Meeting

FED

1.75%

Jul 27, 2022

ECB

0.00%

Jul 21, 2022

BOE

1.25%

Aug 04, 2022

SNB

-0.25%

Sep 22, 2022

RBA

0.85%

Jul 05, 2022

BOC

1.50%

Jul 13, 2022

RBNZ

2.00%

Jul 13, 2022

BOJ

-0.10%

Jul 21, 2022

CBR

9.50%

Jul 22, 2022

RBI

4.90%

Aug 04, 2022

PBOC

3.70%

BCB

13.25%

Aug 03, 2022

US 30	31,078.0	+302.6	+0.98%
US 500	3,824.4	+39.0	+1.03%
Dow Jones	31,097.26	+321.83	+1.05%
S&P 500	3,825.33	+39.95	+1.06%
Nasdaq	11,127.84	+99.11	+0.90%
S&P 500 VIX	26.70	-2.01	-7.00%
Dollar Index	104.880	+0.416	+0.40%

Crude Oil WTI	108.46	+2.70	+2.55%
Brent Oil	111.48	+2.45	+2.25%
Natural Gas	5.620	+0.196	+3.61%
Gold	1,812.90	+5.60	+0.31%
Silver	19.823	-0.529	-2.60%
Copper	3.6138	-0.0962	-2.59%
US Soybeans	1,510.50	-48.50	-3.11%

SPDR S&P 500	381.24	+3.99	+1.06%
iShares Russell 2000	171.41	+2.05	+1.21%
Invesco QQQ Trust	282.13	+1.85	+0.66%
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Bull 2X Shares	35.44	+1.98	+5.92%
iShares Silver	18.31	-0.33	-1.77%
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures	13.99	-0.54	-3.72%
ProShares UltraPro QQQ	24.39	+0.39	+1.62%

Apple	138.93	+2.21	+1.62%
Alphabet A	2,174.75	-4.51	-0.21%
Tesla	681.79	+8.37	+1.24%
Amazon.com	109.56	+3.35	+3.15%
Netflix	179.95	+5.08	+2.90%
Meta Platforms	160.03	-1.22	-0.76%
Bank of America	31.56	+0.43	+1.38%

Main Risks For US Indices

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