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The State Of E-Commerce

Published 08/16/2016, 12:51 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

E-Commerce sales jumped a strong 4.5% but before anyone gets too excited by the sales growth, E-Commerce represents only 8.1% of sales. Seasonal variations are also in play.

E-commerce represents sales of goods and services where an order is placed by the buyer or price and terms of sale are negotiated over the internet, an extranet, Electronic Data Interchange (EDI) network or other online system. Payment may or may not be made online.

Bloomberg Econdoday reports:

The non-store component has been a leading strength of the monthly retail sales report, making the strong 4.5 percent quarter-to-quarter gain for second-quarter ecommerce sales no surprise. Year-on-year, ecommerce sales were up 15.8 percent in the quarter. As a percentage of total retail sales, ecommerce continues to move higher, up 2 tenths to 8.1 percent.

Volatility

Quarterly E-Commerce Sales

Economists do not estimate E-commerce sales.

Chart Legend

  • Red: Q1
  • Blue: Q2
  • White Q3
  • Yellow: Q4

I added colored lines to make it easier to see what’s really happening.

Two Perspectives

  1. E-commerce, only represents 8.1% of sales. A 4.5% gain on 8.1% is not that meaningful.
  2. This cyclically-volatile series does not appear to be seasonally adjusted.

For some reason, online sales tend to jump in the second quarter. The second quarter was the strongest quarter for four consecutive years.

This jump is just typical seasonal volatility.

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