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Small Caps Recover Strongly As Nasdaq Breakout Stabilizes

Published 08/15/2018, 12:03 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Buyers made a strong defense of the Russell 2000 as yesterday's losses were reversed - and then some. However, there is still some 2-3 days worth of buying required before it can be said to be challenging new highs. Weak shorts will have covered today but more staunch shorts will be feeling nervous; a move above 1,710 is a cover of any short.

RUT Daily Chart


The real beneficiary of today's buying was the NASDAQ. Having successfully held on to breakout support today saw the index put some distance away from support - any move back to such support should attract fresh buyers. The index also continues to outperform the S&P 500.

COMPQ Daily Chart


The Nasdaq 100 is also building support at the 20-day MA and a push above 7,500 would negate the July 'bull trap' and mark new all-time highs.

NDX Daily Chart


Large Caps are contained by their rising channels and today's buying didn't do much to change this. The point of note was the bounce off the 20-day MA for the S&P.

SPX Daily Chart


The likelihood is that the majority of new trades over the last couple of days were short trades. So, now it's a question how these short-trade holders will react if prices continue to rise. Certainly, any push to new 52-week highs should force the last of the shorts out. Long traders in the Nasdaq or S&P have some reason for optimism as traders will likely transition back to long positions if prices hang on here.

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