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S&P 500 Just Violated Its Lows

Published 10/11/2016, 01:57 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Could it be that ES is finally breaking out of its month-long, contracting (coil) pattern to the downside?

Since Monday morning, ES has pivoted to the downside form 2163.50 and has accelerated beneath the lower-coil boundary line at 2140 -- to a low at 2133.25 so far.

The Reason

The reason why this time could be different, and consequential, is because Tuesday's selloff violated the prior two pullback pivot lows at 2138.50 and at 2136.00, which leaves the index vulnerable to downside continuation to 2120-2107 mid-Sept, support, which must contain the selling pressure to avert a plunge toward the lower portion of the July-Oct. megaphone pattern -- now in the vicinity of 2080.

Only a sudden upside reversal (the invisible hand) the propels ES back above 2141 will begin to neutralize the potential damage of Tuesday's weakness.

4-Hour S&P 500

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