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AUD/USD: Long Upper Wick Could Be Worrying

Published 04/15/2018, 05:43 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

EUR/USD was flat on Friday. We took profit on our GBP/USD long trade and will be hunting for lower levels to buy this pair again, unless the market picture changes.

We don't see a fundamental reason for a continuation of USD/JPY rise and will be looking for an opportunity to open a short position there.
Our AUD/USD long is progressing, but Friday's long upper wick could be worrying.

EUR/USD
Trading strategy: Long
Open: 1.2220
Target: 1.2470
Stop-loss: 1.2220 (raised from 1.2140)
Recommended size: 2.50 mini lots per $10,000 in your account
Short analysis: We target near the March high. Daily RSI is biased down so this correction might extend a bit. The long lower wick on the monthly candle bolsters our bullish view.

GBP/USD
Trading strategy: Buy
Open: 1.4170
Target: -
Stop-loss: 1.4040
Recommended size: 1.54 mini lots per $10,000 in your account
Short analysis: Profit taken today at 1.4270. We earned 260 pips and $353.60 per $10,000 in your account. Our trading idea is to buy on dips. We have placed a new buy order at 1.4170 with suggested size of 1.54 mini lots.

USD/JPY
Trading strategy: Await signal
Open: -
Target: -
Stop-loss: -
Recommended size: -
Short analysis: The USD/JPY broke above last week's 107.49 high and 107.52, 50% Fibo of 110.48-104.56 fall, which are support levels now. On the other hand, we do not see a fundamental reason for a significant upward move and will be looking for an opportunity to open a short position here.

USD/CAD
Trading strategy: Await signal
Open: -
Target: -
Stop-loss: -
Recommended size: -
Short analysis: The USD/CAD is still fluctuating near 1.2600, where we took profit on our latest short position. In our opinion medium-term outlook remains bearish and we will be hunting for higher levels to open another short position here.

AUD/USD
Trading strategy: Long
Open: 0.7660
Target: 0.7880
Stop-loss: 0.7700 (raised from 0.7555)
Recommended size: 1.43 mini lots per $10,000 in your account
Short analysis: AUD/USD long is progressing, but today's long upper wick could be worrying. We've locked in profit at 0.7700.

EUR/GBP
Trading strategy: Await signal
Open: -
Target: -
Stop-loss: -
Recommended size: -
Short analysis: Bear sentiment increases as the pair breaks out of its broad consolidation phase and below the and sets a new trend low 61.8% Fibo of 0.8305-0.9307. A new low is set and RSIs suggest further losses are due. But in our opinion a short position at current levels would be a risky trade.

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