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Melting Metal: Gold Starts To Tumble

Published 08/07/2020, 04:55 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

My recent obsession with precious metals has been getting some ribbing, but that’s OK. I think there’s no market more important to spelling out our financial future, and as I’ve said repeatedly, it’s the one asset whose ascent I applaud.

Paradoxically, I am quite pleased to see gold finally start to take a tumble.

It got very close to $2,090 an ounce and then did an about-face. I would say the first level of meaningful support is around $1,980, and a much, much more solid level of support is way down around $1,800.

Perhaps my lifelong fixation on being different from the crowd made me uneasy supporting an asset that had been garnering so much attention. But honestly, in spite of my long-term target of $6,400/ounce, there needs to be shake-outs and breathers along the way.

The old “Tim’s visits to the bullion shop fade indicator” doesn’t work any more. I’ve actually been doing quite well with my buys and sells. I sold some of my gold recently since I just had too damned much of the stuff, and I would be absolutely delighted to march right back in there and gobble up a bunch closer to $1,800.

In the meanwhile, I am cheerfully short XME (NYSE:XME), which I think could be one of the best ETF shorts for the rest of the year.

Latest comments

Still cheerful about your short today?
Normal corrections, gold has made a long way from 1800 to 2090.. what do you expect.. those who want to come back to 1800 or 1940 want to repeat history and jump on those boats they missed. wait for next week... things are heating up with China especially when they start talking loudly about delisting Chinese companies form stock.
This is consolidation and profit taking. The govt is still printing trillions, the trade war is burning brighter than ever, elections, massive unemployment benefits and deficits. Gold is going to 2500
Tension with China, corona virus increasing more and more, turbulent elections, another probable stimulus package ... For me, this was just a correction, to get back stronger. Just see the closing of the day.
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