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JPY household spending beat expectations to contract by -3.0% y/y (-3.7% expected) and at a much slower rate than -8% previously. JPY unemployment rises 3.7%, above expectations and from the...
Volatility continues to collapse Yesterday’s range for the EUR/USD was a mere 0.12%, the second-narrowest range since the beginning of the euro, excluding New Year’s day (the /narrowest...
Dollar Pair’s Extreme Quiet is UnnervingMarket conditions are already extremely quiet, but it seems that we are sliding to even more exceptional levels of listlessness…and just before a...
The risk of complacency is one that you can never really quantify. Often times doing nothing is the hardest thing to do, but can be the most fruitful if you are investing in a profitable trend or...
Before you jump on the Bull market bandwagon of "don't fight the Fed," perhaps you should take a look at the quality of the debt the Fed has enabled and the diminishing returns on all that debt.The...
The macro profile for Britain continues to show that the UK is leading the way among advance economies for growth. In turn, the upbeat data suggests that an interest rate hike may be near - perhaps...
This week the scorecard recommends buying NZD, AUD and CAD while selling GBP, NOK and SEK (see suggested weights in portfolio in table below) . Last week's signals resulted in a 0.27% loss. To Read...
The markets remained rather dull so far this week. The Dow ended 22.02 pts higher at 16892.59 after initial dip to 16877.72. Asian equities are mildly higher with Nikkei 225 up 60 pts while HK HSI is...
A snapshot view of yesterday’s New York - London session with technical notes.Very quiet session overall which saw currencies hold around their weekly closing prices, albeit a few pips here and...
This Great Graphic was tweeted by the Financial Acrobat. The charts show US and euro area GDP in log charts that also plot the pre-crisis trend. It is clear that the crisis has thrown the US off its...
In my last post, I wrote about signs of slowing non-US growth as a warning of impending stock market weakness (see Global growth scare = Trend Model downgrade). It seems that we will see a key report...
Last time I was looking at EUR/USD I said that I was expecting a test of rising wedge support in the 1.35 area. EUR/USD made that and then slightly lower to test the 200 DMA, so the rising wedge...
Lessons From 1994If you were investing in 1994, you probably recall it was a difficult year. Notice the similarities to 2014 in the text from The Economist below: CAST your minds back to 1994. The...
“You shouldn’t get to call yourself an American company only when you want a handout from the American taxpayers,” President Obama said Thursday. He was referring to American...
It is often stated that retail investors represent the "herd" mentality. That, like lemmings, they tend always to do the opposite of what they should by "buying high and selling...