Market Overview

Well, now that we’ve celebrated, time to turn our attention back to the markets. On Friday, the NQ and ES got a brief opportunity to show their reactions to the disappointing jobs report, and so...

Let's take a close look at Friday's employment report numbers on Full and Part-Time Employment. Buried near the bottom of Table A-9 of the government's Employment Situation Summary are the numbers for...

We identify six key issues facing investors: US Economy Brinkmanship in Athens Cyclical Recovery in Europe BOJ Policy Response RBA Meeting Oil Prices US EconomyThe March jobs data was a...

What we measure matters. As Dirk Philipsen writes in his forthcoming The Little Big Number: How GDP Came to Rule the World and What to Do about It (Princeton University Press), “Choices about...

Paul Krugman points out an interesting Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) discussion in which James Pethokoukis, a very good conservative economist, explains why many conservatives didn’t support Ben Bernanke...

Early this week two posts hit my inbox within hours of each other - and I was thinking that the authors of these posts could not be living in the same world. One, (Professor Paul Krugman), was...

That stats just keep getting stranger and, if you’re a policymaker or an investor, scarier. According to a (now widely publicized) McKinsey & Co study, instead of deleveraging after the...

As investors and traders try to game the Fed and their next move, we find that a lack of clarity and vision about policy once again have players on edge. It's playing out like a game of 'chicken' and...

-- VIX challenged its weekly Intermediate-term resistance at 16.45 before closing beneath its mid-cycle support at 14.32. VIX remains on a buy signal. SPX closed above Intermediate-term support. SPX...

Selling cash-secured puts is a strategy with goals of creating monthly cash flow while retaining capital preservation as a priority. However, many of our astute members are also using this strategy to...

The Trade Weighted US Dollar Index has been growing since Q4 2011. Its growth increasing over the last nine months. The annual rise in CPI is below 2%, and the US economy remains relatively weak. The...

A reliable source for recession forecasting is the unemployment rate, which can provide signals for the beginnings and ends of recessions. The unemployment rate model (article link), updated with the...

Initial ReactionFor a huge change we see the existing pattern of a strong establishment survey but a poor household survey has been replaced by weakness all around. Last month I stated: "The household...

Greece to Make April 9 IMF Repayment April 9th was one of the critical dates by which Greece was said to be out of cash. By now most expect these kinds of deadlines to come and go in belief the...