Market Overview

EM FX was mixed last week. The rebound in oil helped some, such as COP, RUB, and MXN. On the other hand, idiosyncratic political risks weighed on South Africa. This week could pose a challenge to EM,...

The macroeconomic fundamentals have not changed much in the first three months of the year. The US growth remains near trend, the labor market continues to improve gradually, both headline and core...

Academic bloggers and other high-profile commentators have argued there is still sufficient slack in the economy to warrant keeping rates low for now. Labor utilization measures (such as the U-6...

The week’s biggest news was the UK’s invocation of Article 50, formally beginning “Brexit.” Numerous people have offered commentary on this event. But there are only 2 firm...

Every century the US has been in existence, there has been a new USD. We believe it is time for a new US dollar in the 21st century. In the following paragraphs we hope to explain why this is...

IntroductionWhatever we create, whether it is trading strategy, risk management system or anything else, our philosophy is to do it as simply and as practically as possible. Whatever we do is supposed...

Pim van Vliet and Jan de Koning, both members of Robeco’s quantitative equities team (with van Vliet responsible primarily for the firm’s conservative equity strategies), have written a...

Market movers ahead In the US, the key event of next week is Friday's labour market report. We forecast it will show a total of 160,000 new jobs, an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.7% and monthly...

The election of President Trump and the prospect of fiscal stimulus spurred considerable optimism about US growth in 2017. US equity markets jumped in the weeks following the US election, in what...

Italy has two sets of credit default swaps (CDS) in play. One set uses 2003 rules of credit events. The other uses rules from 2014 and later.Under 2003 rules, repayment of euro bond obligations in...

The Fed has had ample time to reduce its massive $4.5 trillion balance sheet.At the very minimum, the Fed long ago could have stopped reinvesting interest. Instead, the Fed is just now coming to term...

In the past week, the GDPNow Model declined by 0.2 percentage points. The Nowcast Model for first quarter GDP inched down by 0.1 percentage points.GdpNow sits at 0.9% and Nowcast at 2.9% so the...

Editor’s Note: This week’s chart and article come to us from Managing Editor Rachel Gearhart and originally ran in The Oxford Insight, a newsletter exclusively for Oxford Club Members....

U.S. Economic & Financial Markets Outlook- Consumer Confidence at 10 Year High As GDP Growth Remains Below Normal! (Y H & C Investments may have positions in companies mentioned in this...