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Macron wins by a very wide margin. Focus now turns to his choice of PM and cabinet followed by the parliamentary election.Upside risk to EUR/USD as focus turns to the ECB - the big winner in euro FI...
Whether you are a supporter of Brexit or fear what it going to bring, it is still interesting to watch the economy and see what affect it is having. Now we are just moving out of April, a General...
New factory orders in Germany headed for another monthly increase in March Will the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Index continue to climb in May? US Labor Market Conditions Index to dip despite...
Having never owned the Emerging Markets (EM’s) in any form or fashion in the 1990’s and then staying out of the asset class between 2001 – 2007 given all the money that flowed into...
“Sell in May and go away, but remember to come back in December.” That is a very old saying when it comes to stock markets. There certainly is sufficient measurable proof of that. When it...
Well that was a tame NFP release. I have no idea of the numbers – and don’t really care! That EURUSD pushed a little higher - that could reach around the 1.1024 area was a definite...
EM FX got some limited traction as the week closed, helped by stabilizing commodity prices. However, oil, copper, and iron ore have all broken important technical levels that suggest further weakness...
The stock markets are setting up for either a choppy consolidation or corrective phase before the euphoria phase begins. The winning strategy I have found uses a combination of cycles, sentiment and...
The Affordable Care Act has proven a lot harder to repeal than President Trump or the GOP Congress thought it would be - but this past week, they finally made some headway in the House.Whether you see...
The Week That WasLast week, the Dow Jones gained 0.3%, to finish at 21006.94. The index was unable to overcome its previous weekly high, which in turn was unable to overcome the high of March 3rd....
US jobs report for April showed solid jobs growth of 211,000. Both the U3 and U6 unemployment rates fell to new cycle lows indicating less slack in the labour market.That said, we think the FOMC...
Market movers ahead We expect a rebound in US CPI inflation after the sharp fall in the March inflation print. German GDP growth for Q1 is likely to mirror the relatively strong euro area growth. We...
Michael W. Covel’s Trend Following first appeared in the spring of 2004 and went on to sell over 100,000 copies, with translations into German, Korean, Japanese, Chinese, Arabic, French,...
The French presidential elections are in the spotlight the coming week. Four candidates were fighting for the presidential seat – the far right Marine Le Pen, the independent Emmanuel Macron,...
One of the big questions for this week is whether commodities will rebound from the crash last week. A quick refresher- Brent crude tanked below $47 per barrel – it’s lowest since OPEC...