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Large Cap Indecision, Bearish Small Caps And Tech

Published 10/07/2014, 01:47 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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Bears did a good job yesterday of keeping selling pressure in play with bearish engulfing patterns of the NASDAQ and Russell 2000. There was less on offer from Large Caps, although defensive indices are less likely to succumb to bearish pressure.

The Russell 2000 eroded what little wiggle room it had to support. However, it didn't break 1,090 or challenge the 'bear trap'. There was an excellent article on Andrew Thrasher's blog about a potential bearish head-and-shoulder pattern in the Russell 2000, which makes a lot of sense.

RUT Daily

The NASDAQ suffered its bearish engulfing pattern with a perfect tag of resistance (former channel support). Like the Russell 2000, it could turn a bearish head-and-shoulder reversal on a pushback to 4,325, with a bounce back to 4,485, before a return to 4,325 - and below.

COMPQ Daily

The S&P 500 finished with an indecisive doji. It failed to break above the 50-day MA, which will give heart to bears, but didn't give back Friday's gains either. This could still go either way, although bears probably hold an edge here given the rejection of the 50-day MA and the presence of 1,987.

SPX Daily

The Semiconductor Index remains within the bounce zone. It exhibits a long lower shadow to denote demand buying.  Longs probably have the best chance in this index.

SOX Daily

For today, bearish engulfing patterns give an advantage to bears, but if there is a late day charge by bulls, look to the Semiconductor Index for long side opportunities.

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