Get 40% Off
🤯 Perficient is up a mind-blowing 53%. Our ProPicks AI saw the buying opportunity in March.Read full update

High Beta Stock Outperformance Suggests A Strengthening Economy

Published 01/08/2018, 06:06 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

For the first part of 2017 low volatility equities were outperforming their high beta counterparts. However, as tax reform talk began to look more a reality in late August, high beta stocks resumed their outperformance that really began in early 2016. As the maroon line in the below chart shows, this high beta outperformance is carrying over into the beginning of 2018.
High Beta Vs Low Volatility


From a sector weight perspective, the high beta stocks tend to have larger allocations to the more economically sensitive sectors, for example, Industrials, Technology, Energy and Financials. Conversely, the high beta index is under weight the traditionally more defensive sectors like consumer staples and utilities.
Period Details


The blue line in the first chart at the beginning of the post represents the Conference Board's Leading Economic Indicators Index. Of significance is the fact high beta stocks as a group tend to outperform low volatility ones when the economic data is improving. By its nature, a positive LEI Index is representative of an improving economy and not a recessionary one as can be seen in the below chart by comparing the blue LEI line to the recessionary grey bars.
US Leading Indicator And Industrial Production


With the recent passage of the tax reform package in Congress, a stimulative economic impact is anticipated. It is quite possible the economic cycle gets extended as a result of the benefits that accrue to the economy from the tax reform legislation. The fact economically sensitive sectors are once again outperforming indicates the market may be expecting this as well. This week's fourth quarter earnings reports by S&P 500 companies will be weighted towards financial stocks and company comments around their outlook should be a key focus for investors.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.