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Gold: Fixated On $1293

Published 05/27/2014, 12:52 AM
Updated 03/05/2019, 07:15 AM

Gold for Tuesday, May 27, 2014

Over the last week gold has remain fixated on the $1293 level and done very little as volatility has dried up completely, resulting in gold moving very little. It pushed down towards $1280 before sling-shotting back and also had an excursion above $1300 for a short period before moving quickly back to the $1293 area again. Over the last few weeks, gold has eased back from around $1315 to establish its current narrow trading range below $1295. It continues to try to rally higher back to the resistance level at $1300. The support level at $1275 remains firm and forms the bottom area of a potential large descending triangle.

Over the last couple of months the $1275 level has established itself as a level of support and on several occasions has propped up the price of gold after reasonable falls. Throughout the second half of March gold fell heavily from resistance around $1400 back down to a several week low near support at $1275. Both these levels remain relevant as $1275 continues to offer support and the $1400 level is likely to play a role again should gold move up higher. Through the first couple of months of this year, gold moved very well from a longer term support level around $1200 up towards a six month higher near $1400 before returning to its present trading levels closer to $1300.

Gold was little changed on Tuesday as investors await U.S. economic data for directional cues, while platinum group metals rose for a second day as labor strikes dragged on in key producer South Africa.  Spot gold was flat at $1,292.40 an ounce by 0027 GMT. The metal has been trading in a tight range in the last few sessions, struggling to get past $1,300.  Investors were also eyeing developments in Ukraine, after it launched air strikes and a paratrooper assault against pro-Russian rebels who seized an airport on Monday.  Ukraine's newly elected leader rejected any talks with "terrorists" and said a robust military campaign in the east should be able to put down a separatist revolt in "a matter of hours".

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Gold Daily Chart Gold 4 Hourly Chart

Gold May 27 at 02:55 GMT   1293.3   H: 1293.5   L: 1291.1

Gold Technical

S3S2S1R1R2R3
12801275---13151330---

During the early hours of the Asian trading session on Tuesday, gold is continuing to consolidate and trade in a small range between $1291 and $1294 after moving strongly lower from above $1305 a couple of weeks ago.  Current range: trading right between $1290 and $1295 around $1293.

Further levels in both directions:

• Below: 1280 and 1275.

• Above: 1315 and 1330.

OANDA's Open Position Ratios

Position Ratios

(Shows the ratio of long vs. short positions held for gold among all OANDA clients. The left percentage (blue) shows long positions; the right percentage (orange) shows short positions.)

The long position ratio for gold has moved back below 70% again as gold remains around the $1295 level. The trader sentiment remains in favour of long positions.

Economic Releases

  • 08:30 UK BBA Mortgage Approvals (Apr)
  • 12:30 US Durable goods orders (Apr)
  • 12:30 US Durables ex defence (Apr)
  • 12:30 US Durables ex transport (Apr)
  • 13:00 US FHFA House Price Index (Mar)
  • 13:00 US S&P Case-Shiller Home Price (Mar)
  • 14:00 US Consumer Confidence (May)

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