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Gold Bears Gain Ground Amid Fed's Hawkish Tone: What's Next?

Published 09/27/2023, 10:52 AM

In my previous analysis, I highlighted the impending surrender of Gold bulls as traders displayed confidence in staying on the sell-side, driven by expectations of a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve in its upcoming meeting.

As expected, the Federal Reserve's actions aligned with the anticipations of most gold enthusiasts, resulting in a sudden surge in the benchmark 10-year yield, which was last trading at 4.557%. This yield reached a 16-year high of 4.5660% in the preceding session, and the US dollar has climbed to levels last observed in November of the previous year.

Gold Futures 4 Hr. Chart

Analyzing the movements in Gold futures on the 4-hour chart, it is evident that the scenario is currently dominated by gold bears. Every upward move has been met with a selling spree below the 200-day moving average, which is positioned at $1943. Following the recent Fed meeting, gold futures have continued to grapple with substantial selling pressure due to the strengthening US dollar.

From a technical perspective, the formation of a highly bearish crossover on September 25, 2023, in the 4-hour chart confirmed the continuation of this downtrend. This resulted in a breach below the significant support level at $1918, which has now transformed into a resistance.

On the flip side, if gold futures fail to defend the immediate support at $1888 in today's session, it could be the second confirmation of the ongoing decline. The recent slide had already provided the first confirmation with a breakdown below $1918.

I believe that if gold futures remain below $1902, the likelihood of a steep descent will increase, potentially pushing gold futures down to the $1864 level.

Disclaimer: The author of this analysis does not have any position in Gold futures. All the readers are advised to take any position at their own risk.

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