Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Gold And Silver Break At Last

Published 05/06/2021, 12:44 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Gold has finally broken through the $1,800 barrier and in doing so has opened up the path to much higher prices.
 
As I reported a few weeks ago when the chart pattern informed us, gold had double bottomed amid a long-term chart resistance level. The bears couldn’t push it further down, and longs came in to far outnumber the shorts. Gold has been in a very frustrating nine-month downtrend in a larger bull market. This pattern now confirms the breakout to the upside and would imply there is a lot of room to move.

The chart below shows a series of major resistance levels to overcome by the time we can go aiming for the all-time highs. While I fully expect gold to pass these, it will be a bumpy ride along the way. The trend tells us that pullbacks should be buying opportunities now as the way the trend has changed since the start of April has confirmed the bull run is back on.

Gold daily chart

Silver’s pattern is similar to gold in many ways, however, during this nine-month frustration period, it has been far the strongest of the two, with the price having tested the August highs of last year during the silver squeeze in February. While Silver has one or two resistance levels to overcome, there is no doubt the major barrier is breaking $30 and closing the week above this level. We could see an explosion in price if this occurs very quickly after this, as major players cover their shorts. I’ve previously written about palladium and how that price was smashed down for years by the big players, and I’ve no doubt given the recent attention that silver has had, it will follow and I still believe all time-highs are possible in 2021.
 
Copper, platinum and palladium are all at multi-year highs. Gold has followed a near perfect Fibonacci retracement against the backdrop of the cup and handle formation shown on a daily chart. Silver always comes late to the party and puts in an explosive run following gold higher. History has shown that, and there is little to suggest this time will be any different.
 
It would appear the aforementioned metals have led the way in the reflation trade, and they always lead the way as barometers of inflation. It would appear now that traders are starting to turn their head in disbelief against the narrative of the Fed’s “transitory” explanation, and put their money into what has been an inflation hedge since the dawn of money – gold and silver.  The fundamentals are stronger than ever for the monetary metals to catch the front running pack and win the marathon by some distance in the next few years. 

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Latest comments

a question: OI are exploding but call/put ratio i widely over 3 ... are in comex call used to protect a naked short?
Quite possibly. Could be many other reasons as well.
storm of new Open interests (silver +11k)... probably banks keep trying their game. when we will see the covering price will raise and OI will fall... not now
Gold to $1900 by July it will be when infra pork plan from Biden will pass.
Let’s go !
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.