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EUR/USD, GBP/USD Bullish; U.S. Dollar in Trouble?

Published 07/17/2023, 02:42 AM

In this week's market analysis, Jason Sen, a prominent day trader and technical analyst, delves into the latest trends and potential trading opportunities. He begins by reviewing gold's recent price action, highlighting a bullish pattern and buy signal that led to a $35 surge. Next, he examines the US Dollar Index, indicating a potential correction to the downside.

He emphasizes the clear trends in EUR/USD and GBP/USD, predicting potential buy signals for the Euro and a significant surge in the Pound. Lastly, he evaluates USD/CHF, expressing a bearish outlook for the dollar against the Swiss Franc. This analysis provides valuable insights and potential trading opportunities for Forex enthusiasts.

US dollar index holding below the lower end of the 6-month range at 100.75/80 keeps the outlook negative for this week.

We continue lower to 9964 & outlook remains negative as we look for 9900/9890, perhaps as far as 9830/25.

US Dollar Index Chart

USDCAD unexpectedly soared to win back almost all of Thursday & Friday's steep losses. I would not have expected that. Now we have a bullish engulfing candle & almost a double-bottom buy signal.  Strong resistance at 1.3260/80. Shorts need stops above 1.3300. A break above 1.3300 is an important buy signal for this week.

EURUSD break above 1.0900 was a buy signal to hit the target 0f 1.0990/1.1000. Holding above here saw us target 1.1050/55 & 2023 high at 1.1075/95. We hit my next target of 1.1180 yesterday.

The pair are overbought as we test a rising trend line going to back to September at 1.1230/40.

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I think a short is too risky & I do see further downside risks for the US dollar. A break above 1.1250 should be a buy signal for today targeting 1.1275.

If we dip today I would try a long at 1.1150/40 with stop below 1.1130.

USD/CAD Chart

Latest comments

It shall test 115 area in couple of weeks after some consolidation
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