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Chart Of The Week: Global Vs. U.S. Corporate Earnings

Published 12/15/2021, 12:34 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Global vs US Corporate Earnings: On the topic of US vs global equities, a key reason for the extended trend of US beating global equities has been the long-term cycles in relative strength of *earnings.*

The chart below shows that US earnings have outgrown global peers substantially over the past decade. Interestingly enough it follows a previous decade of global earnings outgrowing US earnings.

Basically this lens presents a glimpse of the fundamental trends underpinning the price trends that have been fairly extensively documented.

Thus one takeaway is that this long-term cycle in fundamentals will need to turn in order to reinforce any turn in price. But also of significance is value: I would argue that the superior profitability and earnings growth of US companies is already in the price—and then some. So there is some nuance to this puzzle…

Global Ex-US vs US Equities - Earnings Cycles

Key point: US corporate earnings have outgrown global peers over the past decade.

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