Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Daily ChartFed Tapering is the most commonly used phrase in market commentary these days, and has been blamed as the driver for why US stocks pushed lower yesterday. However, yields of the benchmark...

The QE party is ending. And the hangover that follows is going to be brutal.Since 2007 the Central Bankers of the world have operated under the belief that they can hold the financial system together...

There’s never a shortage of comparisons with 2007 when it comes to equities. Comparing chart patterns, price-earnings ratios, earnings outlooks, interest rate environments and other factors in...

Daily ChartThere has been renewed speculation that the Fed would execute tapering action in September. Whether this speculation has any merit is debatable, but the impact on US Treasuries is clear for...

Let's have a look at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields. The chart below shows the 10-Year Constant Maturity yield since 1962 along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) and inflation. The range...

Let's take a look at bonds because rising rates are capturing broad attention.We use the 20+ Year T-Bonds ETF (TLT) as the surrogate for long bond timing. As of 5/20/2013 TLT is on a Trend Model...

Although today’s release of UK employment date appeared neutral by the measure of the ILO figures used by the Bank of England, the second consecutively monthly decline of 29K in claimant...

Speculation that the Fed will begin slowing its purchases of long-term assets as early as next month is arguably the most significant market force. One would intuitively expect that, given the forward...

One of the most important charts that any trader can follow at this stage of the game is the chart of the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. Today, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note is 2.71...

The Investment Company Institute (ICI) estimated weekly net cash outflow from bond mutual funds of $13.5 billion during the week of June 12. This followed a staggering $10.9 billion outflow the...

On April 29, bond guru Bill Gross of PMICO sent a message on Twitter stating that the thirty-year bull in the bond market in bonds “likely ended”. Not long afterward, Dallas Federal...