Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Ten-Year Government of Canada Bond retested strong resistance at 130.40/43 for a second selling opportunity and topped exactly here. Again this trade worked perfectly as we sold off towards support at...

Weekly CFTC Net Speculator Report Large Speculators bearish positions rise to a total of -61,765 contracts 10 Year Treasuries: Large futures market traders slightly increased their overall bearish...

Here’s the last word on iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treasury (ARCA:TLT) vs. ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (ARCA:TBT) (20 year treasuries vs its ultra inverse).  Despite all...

2013 wasn't kind to the bond market -- one of the worst years in a long, long time. The decline in bond prices drove iShares Barclays 20+ Yr. Treasury (ARCA:TLT) down to its 38% Fibonacci retracement...

There is a lot of talk now about the yield curve flattening. A flattening curve is commonly viewed as bad for gold, and according to Mark Hulbert, in Why you should care about the yield curve, is...

The five-year treasury yield hit a multi-year high relative to the average of the two- and the ten-year rates (the 5-year treasury is cheap on a relative basis). The chart below shows a measure of how...

Bobl hit our target of 125.39/41 for a selling opportunity and topped exactly here. Overbought short term so we should struggle here again today. However a break higher cannot be ruled out and could...

Bund continued higher to resistance at 143.25/30 and a high for the day as expected. We held on to 143.05/00 but below here adds pressure today and could test support at 142.81/77. A good chance of a...

Gilts unable to beat the 200 day moving average and turned lower as predicted breaking 109.72 to hit next target and support at 109.57/55. We bottomed exactly here as expected and a good chance we do...

For the 4th time in recent memory, TLT is approaching its resistance level at 109.18. In this insanely-leveraged world of ours, our economic future relies largely on interest rates, so it’s...

I saw a story on MarketWatch on Monday which declared that the “Treasurys most sensitive to rising interest rates” had been ditched by investors while those investors instead were...

The recent trend in the media is to fear higher rates. Actually, history indicates that higher rates are correlated to higher economic growth as shown in Chart 1. But, it has never been about...

High-yield funds are considered by many to be good leading indicators for the future direction of the stock market. Above are four high-yield funds (Not ETF's) that reflect a move higher this year:...

There is a pattern in the Asian corporate bond market and it is not a good one. They remain underdeveloped as compared to the Western peers. However there is a plan in the works to change this from...