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Tenable (NASDAQ:TENB) Surprises With Q3 Sales But Stock Drops On Weak Guidance

Published 11/01/2023, 04:14 PM
Updated 11/01/2023, 04:33 PM
Tenable (NASDAQ:TENB) Surprises With Q3 Sales But Stock Drops On Weak Guidance
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Cybersecurity software maker Tenable (NASDAQ:TENB) reported Q3 FY2023 results exceeding Wall Street analysts' expectations, with revenue up 15.3% year on year to $201.5 million. The company also expects next quarter's revenue to be around $206 million, slightly below analysts' estimates. Turning to EPS, Tenable made a non-GAAP profit of $0.23 per share, improving from its profit of $0.15 per share in the same quarter last year.

Is now the time to buy Tenable? Find out by reading the original article on StockStory.

Tenable (TENB) Q3 FY2023 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $201.5 million vs analyst estimates of $198.4 million (1.57% beat)
  • EPS (non-GAAP): $0.23 vs analyst estimates of $0.18 (24.6% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q4 2023 is $206 million at the midpoint (small miss)
  • Free Cash Flow of $40.3 million, up 45.6% from the previous quarter
  • Gross Margin (GAAP): 77.3%, in line with the same quarter last year
"We are pleased with our execution in the quarter, which included better-than-expected earnings and unlevered free cash flow," said Amit Yoran, Chairman and CEO of Tenable.

Founded in 2002 by three cybersecurity veterans, Tenable (NASDAQ:TENB) provides software as a service that helps companies understand where they are exposed to cyber security risk and how to reduce it.

Vulnerability ManagementThe demand for cybersecurity is growing as more and more businesses are moving their data and processes into the cloud, which along with a major increase in employees working remotely, has increased their exposure to attacks and malware. Additionally, the growing array of corporate IT systems, applications and internet connected devices has increased the complexity of network security, all of which has substantially increased the demand for software meant to protect data breaches.

Sales GrowthAs you can see below, Tenable's revenue growth has been strong over the last two years, growing from $138.7 million in Q3 FY2021 to $201.5 million this quarter.

This quarter, Tenable's quarterly revenue was once again up 15.3% year on year. We can see that Tenable's revenue increased by $6.49 million in Q3, which was roughly the same growth rate observed in Q2 2023. This steady quarter-on-quarter growth shows that the company can maintain its paced growth trajectory.

Next quarter's guidance suggests that Tenable is expecting revenue to grow 11.6% year on year to $206 million, slowing down from the 23.9% year-on-year increase it recorded in the same quarter last year. Looking ahead, analysts covering the company were expecting sales to grow 13.7% over the next 12 months before the earnings results announcement.

ProfitabilityWhat makes the software as a service business so attractive is that once the software is developed, it typically shouldn't cost much to provide it as an ongoing service to customers. Tenable's gross profit margin, an important metric measuring how much money there's left after paying for servers, licenses, technical support, and other necessary running expenses, was 77.3% in Q3.

That means that for every $1 in revenue the company had $0.77 left to spend on developing new products, sales and marketing, and general administrative overhead. Tenable's impressive gross margin allows it to fund large investments in product and sales during periods of rapid growth and achieve profitability when reaching maturity. It's also comforting to see its gross margin remain stable, indicating that Tenable is controlling its costs and not under pressure from its competitors to lower prices.

Key Takeaways from Tenable's Q3 Results Sporting a market capitalization of $4.87 billion, Tenable is among smaller companies, but its more than $693 million in cash on hand and positive free cash flow over the last 12 months puts it in an attractive position to invest in growth.

It was encouraging to see Tenable narrowly top analysts' revenue expectations this quarter and produce decent free cash flow. That really stood out as a positive in these results. On the other hand, its revenue guidance for next quarter missed analysts' expectations. Zooming out, we think this was still a decent, albeit mixed, quarter, showing that the company is staying on track. The market was likely expecting more, and the stock is down 9.46% after reporting, trading at $38 per share.

The author has no position in any of the stocks mentioned in this report.

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