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Stock Market Today: Dow lower as Treasury yields rise after retail sales surprise

Published 08/15/2023, 04:10 PM
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Investing.com -- The Dow ended lower Tuesday, as an ongoing stumble in China's economy raised fears about global growth just as Treasury yields after stronger-than-expected consumer spending dented hopes that the Federal Reserve won't resume rate hikes later this year. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1%, or 361 points, Nasdaq fell 1.1%, and the S&P 500 fell 1% lower.

Retail sales upside surprise dent dovish Fed bets, push Treasury yields higher

Retail sales rose 0.7% last month, well above expectations for 0.4%, marking the biggest increase since January.

The data pointing to signs of consumer strength cooled bets the Fed may not have to resume rate hikes later this year, and further pushed out expectations for rate cuts.

Bets on a Fed November rate hike rose to 32.2% from 26.4% last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

But some on Wall Street expect the consumer to tap out sooner rather than later.

“We expect retail sales to weaken through the end of the year is expected as availability of credit weighs on economic activity and the labor market,” Morgan Stanley said in a note.

The 10-year Treasury yield jumped to end the day at their highest level since October amid easing bets of less hawkish Fed action.    

Banking stocks stumble as Fitch warns of possible downgrade; Discover Financial slumps

Fitch Ratings analyst Chris Wolfe told CNBC on Tuesday that the credit ratings agency may forced to downgrade a slew of U.S. banks including JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) should the health of the banking sector deteriorate further.

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Another downgrade of the U.S. banking industry to A+ from AA-, would force it to reassess its ratings on each of the more than 70 U.S. banks it covers, Wolfe told CNBC.

Regional banks including Citizens Financial Group Inc (NYSE:CFG), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), and M&T Bank Corp (NYSE:MTB) led the selling in the sector, but major Wall Street banking including JPM and BAC were more than 2% lower on the day.  

Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) also weighed on the sector after falling more than 9% as CEO Roger Hochschild resigned.

Home Depot delivers earnings beat, but worries about demand stifle gains

Home Depot Inc (NYSE:HD) reported better-than-expected quarterly results, but the home improvement’s downbeat remarks on waning demand for big-ticket, discretionary categories weighed on sentiment. The stock was marginally higher.  

Weakness in the shares of Home Depot retail may prove a buying opportunity, Oppenheimer said in a Tuesday note, as home improvement sales are likely to continue to expand.

Longer-term drivers of outsized sales expansion in home improvement retailing remain intact, Oppenheimer said, adding that it continues to “recommend clients use any nearer-term price weakness in HD shares as an intermediate- to longer-term.”

Nvidia Shines as Wall Street continues to sing praises

NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) pared gains, but still ended the day above the flatzone after {{0UBS, Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), and Baird, lifted their price target on the chipmaker amid optimism about AI-driven demand.}}

The chipmaker also attracted demand from the Middle East, with Saudi and the United Arab Emirates snapping up thousands of Nvidia’s high-performance chips, the Financial Times reported Monday.

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PayPal slips after Elliot Investment Management ditches stock; ParaMount climbs on potential Hollywood strike breakthrough

PayPal Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:PYPL) fell more than 4% after Elliott Investment Management sold its stake in the payments technology company in Q2, a US Securities and Exchange Commission filing showed.

Paramount Global (NASDAQ:PARA) climbed 3% on hopes that talks between Hollywood Studios and the Writer Guild of America are nearing a breakthrough that could end the months long strike by screenwriters.

Hollywood studios made a new offer to the striking writers that included concessions on key issues such as the use of artificial intelligence and access to viewer data, Bloomberg reported Monday.

Caterpillar leads industrials on weak China data

Caterpillar Inc (NYSE:CAT) fell more than 2% pushing industrials lower as weak growth in China, a key market for the heavy equipment maker, stoked fears about demand. 

Latest comments

This is over 2 years of an inverted yield curve, yet still no recession.  I guess that's a theory to get buried in the history books.
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and tomorrow markets go up as the sentiment of the investors change by tomorrow morning
In few more days Biden’s associates will push another “brokerage house” to say something good about AI, something exciting. Also, two legs bad… err sorry, comrades, China economy is bad, very bad, comrades. You should be happy, very happy living in bidenomics, Right, comrades?
no they won't warm camp, with high probability the markets will test a recent low and start another rally, which has nothing to do with a pronouncement from biden....
This is True! I was having breakfast with Biden's associates at IHOP in Sandusky last week and Deep Pocket (not his real name, bit you know who I mean), said let's push another brokerage hose to say something nice about AI. Well all agreed that would be exciting and had some more waffles. We did not count on the genius mind of Warm Camp figuring it out and spilling the beans though. Good for him. He's very astute.
Biden is harvesting what Trump planted. if the economy is SNAFU thank your Trumpian friends
I’d love to hear more detail AD, need to understand how.
Funny. Still blaming someone else after 2 years of failed Bidenomics.
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Yesterday "Market rallies as rate hike fears calm" today "Market plummets as rate hike fears rise". With Trump we had years of "Trade war fears rise/fall" every day as the market went up until the COVID lockdowns. With Biden, they refuse to even mention the word Biden because of the terrible economy, the Dow has not made any gains since he took office despite trillions in spending, so they just talk about the Fed every day and interest rate decision. Inflation is up about 20% since Biden took office.
TOTALLY AGREE!
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