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Wall St ends up as data suggests inflation may be on downward trend

Published 01/12/2023, 06:30 AM
Updated 01/12/2023, 06:26 PM
© Reuters. Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., January 5, 2023. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

By Caroline Valetkevitch

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks closed higher on Thursday, extending recent gains as data showing a fall in consumer prices in December bolstered expectations of less aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

U.S consumer prices fell for the first time in more than 2-1/2 years in December, the report showed, giving some hope that inflation was now on a sustained downward trend.

"Most investors are seeing inflation come down. That's a positive sign, and I would expect earnings to be decent," said Gary Bradshaw, portfolio manager at Hodges Capital Management in Dallas, Texas.

Friday brings results from a number of big U.S. banks, kicking off the start of the fourth-quarter earnings season for S&P 500 companies.

Trading was choppy following the CPI data. Rents remained very high in the report, while the labor market remains tight, and inflation is still well above the Fed's target.

A separate report on Thursday showed weekly jobless claims fell last week.

But some strategists said the slowdown in U.S. inflation may pave the way for the Fed to be able to bring down consumer prices without badly damaging growth.

Traders' bets of a 25-basis point rate hike by the Fed in February shot up to 91% after the data, from 77% previously.

Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) shares rose 1.2%, providing the biggest boost to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, while energy shares also were higher along with oil prices. Energy rose 1.9% and was the day's best performer among sectors.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 216.96 points, or 0.64%, to 34,189.97, the S&P 500 gained 13.55 points, or 0.34%, to 3,983.16 and the Nasdaq Composite added 69.43 points, or 0.64%, to 11,001.11.

The S&P 500 is now up 3.7% for the year so far.

"The (CPI) report confirms that inflation is in a downward trend and that it has reversed," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard acknowledged the moderation in prices, but stressed on the need for further monetary policy tightening to bring inflation down to the central bank's target.

The Fed raised the key rate by 50 basis points in December, after four back-to-back 75-bps hikes.

Big U.S. banks are forecast to report lower fourth-quarter profits, as lenders stockpile funds to prepare for an economic slowdown.

Also, overall S&P 500 earnings are expected to have declined year-over-year in the fourth quarter, according to IBES data from Refinitiv, which would be the first quarterly U.S. earnings decline since 2020.

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Inc shares ended near flat after Bloomberg, citing people familiar with the matter, reported the carmaker has delayed plans to expand its Shanghai factory.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.14 billion shares, compared with the 10.88 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 3.75-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.50-to-1 ratio favored advancers.

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The S&P 500 posted 14 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 96 new highs and 16 new lows.

Latest comments

Microsoft would be in bankruptcy by now had the government not signed a contract to save the company. Of course the West Coast representatives received great contributions for saving the company. Some cutting edge technology.
just to note, both Pelosi and Kevin McCarthy are from California
No. That's not what saying.
EXACTLY
So Trump and Biden double the nations money supply and it’s getting ready to be all good huh interesting I thought they were trying to destroy the USD huh silly me sooohow about hunter and that crack
Well, Biden had very little to do with that. trump on the other hand had both feet on the accellerator when he should have hit the brakes..
Oddly the two comments from allegedly different people have exactly the same wording, and even punctuation. Same exact investment result "in five days" I have suspected fakery. for a long time C'mon folks. Get real. Cut it out
They are cheating now cause need a time for escape from bet long position so far.
DOJ appoints special counsel into Biden's mishandling of classified documents while VP. Classified docs were found in his Wilmington home unsecured garage.
  Let's just agree that politicians in general are hypocrites and let's not pretend politicians we favor are clean and should be above the law even if they're not clean.
  The point is stop making baseless accusations.
yeah that was my point
Just a joke I'm surprised that the f....uc..k.ers who do censorship and destruction of competition haven't gone bankrupt yet
Who are these f...uck..k.ers you are referring to, exactly?
Market on steroids again. Rejoice till your boss JP speak from his heart!
Good , print more money ,
😂
Lmao
Twas but a silly joke
Oil is heading well above $200 a barrel this summer. Hope everyone enjoyed their 10 years of asset price inflation
by definition we are not in stagflation.... at least not yet.. and unleaded gas is not gone a dollar higher in the last 30 days. unleaded gas has been in a price consolidation (2.03-2.50)since the middle of November 2022. a lot of inexperienced people giving out false information.
That in itself is an opinion.
what how
  Dave proves my point!
Services CPI Soars To Highest In 40 Years, Real Wages Shrink For 21st Month In A Row. Ladies and Gentleman we have Stagflation and the Markets (Wall St) Love it!!!
Print a lot of dollars and export inflation to entire world.... And then rejoice inflation is down... Nice
Market participants are rejoining in data that inflation has peaked. It's not down that much yet. Markets are hoping again the Fed will pivot, but those hopes have been misfounded in recent past months.
Gasoline over $1 more a gallon than a month ago.
The rigged CPI only includes non essential items that have stayed the same or have decreased. For example chicken livers...yummmmm!!
Single day losses reversed the day after they occur, and strings of criminally manufactured “gains,” magically void of profit taking, only in the BIGGEST INVESTMENT JOKE IN THE WORLD.
Amen to that.
Oil is heading well above $200 a barrel this summer. Hope everyone enjoyed their 10 years of asset price inflation
what are the investors sentiments don't know,very strange scenario is going on.worst era for trading .
Tesla is down
More classified documents found the Biden when VP left American national security exposed. Where's the mainstream media headlines?
He has been a proven liar for 50 years
Update: DOJ appoints special counsel today.
You care for the blind but not the poor chap commenting earlier about the costs of his groceries to feed himself and his family?
Up in 3, 2, 1....
Inflation down, market down. Beats me...
This didnt age well
Core CPI is supposedly what the Fed cares about, yet $SPY
is pushing pre-market.
Core PCE
Armageddon.
so what will happen tomorrow
The Sun will rise in the east.
you dont know. you guess. i say flat
hi guys i lost everything today..but one comment above from First Last made me lol 😀😀👍have a nice trading
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