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Five Below shares drop 5% on guidance miss; Morgan Stanley sees attractive risk-reward

EditorPollock Mondal
Published 08/30/2023, 05:08 PM
Updated 08/31/2023, 06:44 AM
© Reuters.  Five Below shares drop 7% on guidance miss

Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE) shares fell more than 5% pre-open Thursday following the company reporting its Q2 results.

EPS of $0.84 was better than the consensus estimate of $0.83. Revenue grew 13.5% year-over-year to $759 million, slightly lower than the consensus estimate of $759.7M.

“We are pleased to deliver second quarter results in line with our guidance on the top and bottom line. Notably, the 2.7% comparable sales increase was driven by a 4.5% increase in comp transactions, illustrating the success of our Five Beyond conversion strategy and the appeal of our extreme value, WOW offering,” said CEO Joel Anderson.

Despite roughly in-line Q2 results, the company’s guidance missed the analyst expectations.

For Q3/24, the company expects EPS of $0.17-$0.25, compared to the consensus of $0.40, and revenue of $715-$730M, compared to the consensus of $737.8M.

For the full year, the company expects EPS in the range of $5.27-$5.55, compared to the consensus estimate of $5.58, and revenue in the range of $3.5-$3.57 billion, compared to the consensus estimate of $3.56B.

Morgan Stanley analysts said they like risk-reward in FIVE shares.

"'23 guidedown not great in an absolute sense, but not outsized and not thesis changing. Compelling bull/bear skew with minimal downside (given embedded EPS growth into '24), healthy underlying KPIs and reasonable valuation," analysts further added in the report on FIVE.

Oppenheimer analysts added:

"We continue to look upon FIVE as a compelling and under-priced retail growth story and view last night’s modest retrenchment in shares as at odds with still-healthy underlying fundamentals and hence making for an incremental buying opportunity."

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Additional reporting by Senad Karaahmetovic

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