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Fed meeting looms, debt ceiling deadline, Eurozone CPI - what's moving markets

Published 05/02/2023, 05:17 AM
Updated 05/02/2023, 05:52 AM
© Reuters

Investing.com -- U.S. futures point slightly lower with Federal Reserve's latest policy-setting meeting set to get underway, while Pfizer leads the day's earnings charge and debt ceiling negotiations in Washington face a tighter-than-anticipated deadline. Meanwhile, inflation in the euro inches up ahead of the European Central Bank's own gathering later this week.

1. Futures inch down but hold near flatline as Fed meeting approaches

U.S. stock futures were in the red on Tuesday, but largely hovered around the flatline, as attention shifted to what could be a pivotal Federal Reserve meeting (see below) and a string of closely-watched job market data.

At 05:25 ET (09:25 GMT), the Dow futures contract traded down by 74 basis points or 0.22%, S&P 500 futures inched down 8 points or 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 4 points or 0.03%.

On the economic data front, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (aka JOLTS) is due out on Tuesday. The report, which tracks job vacancies and the number of workers who have decided to quit, helps gauge the level of demand in the labor market.

The data will serve as a warm-up act before the all-important April jobs report on Friday, which is expected to point to the third-straight monthly deceleration in employment growth.

2. Fed meeting gets underway

The Federal Reserve's two-day policy-setting meeting is set to begin later today.

The U.S. central bank has been aggressively tightening monetary policy over the past year in a bid to cool red-hot inflation, but concerns remain over how much these decisions will impact growth. First-quarter gross domestic product figures last week pointed to sluggish overall activity in the world's biggest economy.

But recent turmoil in the banking sector - marked this week by the failure of First Republic Bank and JPMorgan's (NYSE:JPM) subsequent takeover of the bulk of its assets - has led many observers to predict that the Fed will pause after this latest hike.

In March, policymakers raised rates to their highest level since 2007. Following that meeting, the Fed's "dot plot" forecast signaled that one more quarter-point hike was likely in 2023.

3. Pfizer highlights earnings wave

Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) is among the largest U.S. companies to release their latest results on Tuesday, with investors keen to see how demand for the pharmaceutical giant's COVID-19 products is faring.

Any possible updates around the group's $43 billion purchase of biotechnology company Seagen in March, which is still being mulled over by regulators, are also expected to be a major focus.

Other companies set to release earnings today include chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), coffee chain Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX), and ridesharing firm Uber (NYSE:UBER).

This week will also see numbers from Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), the largest American company by market value. The report from the iPhone maker, which is scheduled to be unveiled on Thursday, is typically considered to be an indicator of the strength of global consumer demand.

4. Debt ceiling pressure rising

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen turned the heat up on lawmakers in Washington, warning that the government will not be able to meet its obligations as soon as June 1 if a deal is not reached to raise or suspend the debt ceiling.

The statement, issued in a letter to Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy on Monday, set out a deadline that was earlier than many on Wall Street had expected. Economists at Goldman Sachs had tentatively placed the so-called "X-date" - that is, the day when the Treasury can no longer meet its obligations to debtholders - at some time in late July.

Yellen's comments were backed up by the Congressional Budget Office, which also estimated that the Treasury would run out of funds by early June, citing weaker-than-expected tax receipts.

The Biden administration has long said it will not meet with McCarthy over the debt limit as long as House Republicans demand that any deal comes with big cuts to some of the president's major spending initiatives. But as June edges closer, the White House will likely face more pressure to join talks.

5. Eurozone inflation edges higher, but core prices cool

Headline inflation in the Eurozone ticked slightly higher as expected in April, in a sign that price growth remains stubbornly elevated as regional rate-setters gear up to unveil their latest rate decision this week.

The currency's area consumer price index for the month rose to 7.0% on an annualized basis, according to preliminary data from Eurostat, in line with economists' forecasts. Meanwhile, core inflation, which strips out volatile items like food and fuel, slowed marginally to 5.6%, surprising estimates that the figure would remain unchanged.

The April numbers come as the European Central Bank prepares to hold its latest monetary policy meeting on Thursday, with officials widely tipped to raise borrowing costs. However, forecasts differ over whether the ECB will hike rates by 25 basis points or opt for a larger 50 basis point increase.

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Latest comments

99.9% can't understand that the actual 'System' is a Zero Sum Game and what this actually Means...
3 banks fail. government does not have money to pay bill and save 4th bank. let's buy. dow must go up today by 1000 point. kill it
recession for sure. super Biden
Best "Doom & Gloom" news so far this week. Lots of 3rd Grade teachers will be asking their students if they know the definition of a "Run on the Bank". Never too early to learn Basic Economics. There will be a quiz next Friday.
true but unfortunately they only teach government good and business bad
And the gay. Don't forget the gay.
easy long from here, nothing to worry about, feds will pivot soon and we can expect a bull market soon
3500 s&p soon
The only way there’s a pivot is if something horrible happens and the Fed needs to fix what it broke. In that case a bull market would be total fantasy.
yep, fear marathon in progress.
3 banks fail in one month and all well. wow. lets dow jump today by 1000 point
all part of the major pump and dump scheme - the smart money is getting out - dumb money still being encouraged to buy by the lamestream media - the central banks are deliberately destroying the global economy - the crash will come soon enough.
jpm also in big trouble after frc deal
govt does not have money to pay bill. today market cheers 1000 point dow up
another one bank fail and economy collapse again. it's recession
you like making an irony about the dow jones's last move?
Let’s not forget that JPow was a huge cog in causing this fed predicament with the trillions unleased by the government all those years.
As usual the manipulative news and prediction upgrading move the market instead of datas and fundamental
Hello and don't get tired, this person who has been sending emails to my name, Asghar Mirzai, is from the police, and when the email was mistakenly sent to Manars, he got into my phone, and they have so many options that they can remove any of my programs from Asghar Mirzai. It was disabling the remote. My Xiaomi phone was stolen and now I got a Samsung A23. You know it yourself, but uninstall it. My email is asghar.mirza.
futures point slightly lower with Federal Reserve's latest policy-setting meeting set to get underway, while Pfizer leads the day's earnings charge and debt ceiling negotiations in Washington face a tighter-than-anticipated deadline. Meanwhile, inflation in the euro inches up ahead of the European Central Bank's own gathering later this week.1. Futures inch down but hold near flatline as Fed meeting approachesU.S. stock futures were in the red on Tuesday, but largely hovered around the flatline, as attention shifted to what could be a pivotal Federal Reserve meeting (see below) and a string of closely-watched job market data.At 05:25 ET (09:25 GMT), the Dow futures contr
FED should pause at least. it must cut the rate now.
it's also negative
Already, earnings have almost been reflected in the stock price.
The sun rises in the east, sets in the west and Dems want to raise the debt ceiling. What's new??
The dems, are you kidding. both parties for decades have raised the limits with nothing but pain for the America people. Grow up, they both work together against us
Nothing but pain? Sure, just imagine how great things would be if our national budget was the same as 1970. We'd be third world.
orange man did it so we can too
Ever get the impression that JPow has no idea what he's doing?
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