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Fast-rising U.S. dollar seen extending its post-election run

Published 11/18/2016, 01:17 PM
Fast-rising U.S. dollar seen extending its post-election run
  • The strength in the U.S. dollar may just be getting started after post-election forecasts were too conservative, says Credit Suisse (SIX:CSGN).
  • That's after the ICE U.S. Dollar Index increased to its highest level in more than 13 years today.
  • EUR/USD: Credit Suisse predicts a 1.03 exchange rate in 90 days and 1.00 parity in a year vs. 1.05 prior on both and 1.05872 current.
  • USD/JPY: The investment firm targets a 111 rate in three months and 108 in 12 months vs. 100 and 108 prior, respectively.
  • GBP/USD: Brexit uncertainty is a factor of course, observes CS. The forecast arrives at 1.20 for 3-months and 12-months vs. 1.16 prior and 1.2338 current.
  • USD/CNY: Some depreciation is seen being allowed by the Chinese government. CS lines up an exchange rate of 7.01 for 3-months and 7.33 in a year. vs. 6.8833 current.
  • USD/MXN: Traders beware of Nafta repeal risk, warns CS. A peso at 23.0 per USD in 3 months and 25.0 in a year is the cautious forecast. The peso stood at 20.5011 per USD at last check.
  • Source: Bloomberg
  • ETFs: FXE, UUP, EUO, UDN, FXB, CYB, ERO, CNY, GBB, USDU, DRR, ULE, EUFX, FXCH, URR.


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