Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Earnings call: Duckhorn Portfolio revises guidance amid challenging market

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 03/08/2024, 05:04 AM
Updated 03/08/2024, 05:04 AM
© Reuters.

Duckhorn Portfolio (NYSE: NAPA), a renowned name in the luxury wine market, reported its second-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2024, revealing a slight dip in net sales and a cautious outlook for the industry.

Despite the broader industry challenges, the company showcased resilience with a 10% increase in adjusted EBITDA and a commitment to strategic initiatives aimed at driving growth. The acquisition of Sonoma-Cutrer is expected to bring cross-selling opportunities and cost synergies, bolstering Duckhorn's long-term prospects.

Key Takeaways

  • Duckhorn Portfolio's net sales decreased by 0.4% in Q2, with net sales totaling $103 million.
  • The company outperformed the luxury wine market, which has seen a flat to 1% growth rate over the past 12 weeks.
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose by 10%, reaching $42.7 million, demonstrating strong profitability.
  • The acquisition of Sonoma-Cutrer is anticipated to provide cross-selling opportunities and cost synergies.
  • Duckhorn revised its full-year guidance, expecting net sales between $395 million and $411 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $145 million and $150 million.
  • Management is focused on brand leverage, expanding wholesale networks, and growing direct-to-consumer channels.

Company Outlook

  • Duckhorn Portfolio has adjusted its full-year guidance due to softer industry conditions.
  • The company plans to introduce new initiatives in the latter half of the year to stimulate growth.
  • The CEO search is underway, with a focus on continuing the trajectory of sustained, profitable growth.

Bearish Highlights

  • Challenging market conditions have led to a decrease in net sales and a cautious industry outlook.
  • Direct-to-consumer channels saw a 4.3% decline, while California wholesale direct-to-trade dropped by 2.6%.
  • Concerns about inflation and food prices have led to a softening in retailer behavior and weaker orders.
3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Bullish Highlights

  • Duckhorn Portfolio's luxury wines are outperforming the market despite flat industry growth rates.
  • Strong profitability is evident with a significant increase in adjusted EBITDA.
  • The company remains confident in its ability to outpace the industry and take a larger market share.

Misses

  • Net sales fell slightly short of expectations, with a 0.4% decrease in Q2.
  • The industry is experiencing softness, which has influenced Duckhorn's near-term outlook.

Q&A Highlights

  • Executives discussed the negative view for the latter half of the year and inventory corrections.
  • Wholesalers expect an improvement in the second half as retailers begin restocking.
  • Management is managing costs tightly and cutting back on non-essential expenses.
  • The Wine by the Glass program is expected to regain momentum in the second half of the year.

Duckhorn Portfolio's second-quarter earnings call painted a picture of a company navigating a tough market with strategic foresight and operational efficiency. While the luxury wine market is experiencing a period of stagnation, Duckhorn's performance and initiatives signal an unwavering commitment to growth and market leadership.

With new offerings and programs on the horizon, and the integration of Sonoma-Cutrer into its portfolio, Duckhorn is poised to leverage its brand strength and continue its trajectory of profitable growth. Investors and stakeholders will be watching closely as the company moves forward with its revised strategies and prepares to share third-quarter results in June.

InvestingPro Insights

Duckhorn Portfolio (NYSE: NAPA), while navigating a challenging luxury wine market, has demonstrated operational strengths that may influence investor sentiment. Here are some key insights based on the latest data from InvestingPro:

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

InvestingPro Data:

  • The company has a Market Cap of approximately $1.09 billion USD, reflecting its significant presence in the industry.
  • Duckhorn Portfolio's P/E Ratio stands at 16.83, suggesting that the company's shares are trading at a premium relative to its earnings.
  • The Gross Profit Margin for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 is an impressive 54.06%, indicating strong profitability in generating revenue.

InvestingPro Tips:

  • Analysts predict that Duckhorn Portfolio will be profitable this year, which aligns with the company's reported 10% increase in adjusted EBITDA during a period of broader industry challenges.
  • The company's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, providing financial stability and the potential to navigate through market uncertainties.

These insights provide a deeper understanding of Duckhorn Portfolio's financial health and market positioning. For investors looking for more in-depth analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/NAPA. Utilize coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an extra 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, and gain access to a total of 7 InvestingPro Tips that could further inform your investment decisions.

Full transcript - Duckhorn Portfolio (NAPA) Q2 2024:

Operator: Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining today's Duckhorn Portfolio Q2 2024 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Cole, and I'll be the moderator for today's call. All lines will be muted during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. [Operator Instructions]. I'd now like to turn the call over to our host, Ben Avenia-Tapper, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please proceed.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Ben Avenia-Tapper: Good afternoon, and welcome to the Duckhorn Portfolio's second quarter 2024 earnings conference call. Joining me on today's call are Deirdre Mahlan, Interim President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairperson; Jennifer Fall Jung, Chief Financial Officer; and Sean Sullivan, Chief Strategy and Legal Officer. In a moment, we will give brief remarks followed by a Q&A. By now, everyone should have access to the earnings release for the second quarter ended January 31, 2024, that went out at approximately 4.05 PM Eastern Time. The press release and an accompanying presentation are accessible on the company's website at ir.duckhorn.com. And shortly after the conclusion of today's call, a webcast will be archived for the next 30 days. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that today's discussion contains forward-looking statements based on the environment as we currently see it, and as such, includes risks and uncertainties. If you refer to Duckhorn's earnings release, earnings presentation, and the company's most recent SEC filings, you will see a discussion of factors that could cause the company's actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Please remember, the company undertakes no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements in the future. We will make a number of references to non-GAAP financial measures. We believe that these measures provide investors with useful perspective on the underlying growth trends of the business, and have included in our earnings release a full reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measures. In addition, please note that all retail scanner data cited on today's call is according to Circana and will refer to dollar or unit consumption for the 12-week period ended January 28, 2024, and growth versus the same period in the prior year in U.S. track channels, unless otherwise noted. With that, I'll turn the call over to Deirdre.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Deirdre Mahlan: Thanks, Ben, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss our second quarter 2024 financial performance. Following my opening remarks, Jennifer will walk us through our quarterly results and updated fiscal year 2024 financial guidance. Amid challenging market conditions, our net sales fell short of our expectations. However, Duckhorn wines consistently outperformed the broader $15 and above luxury wine market as reported by Circana. While we expect to continue to take share and outpace the luxury market, we believe the softness across the industry will persist in the coming quarters. The industry growth rate for luxury wine over the past 12 weeks has been flat to 1%, which we expect to continue, and that is what we assume in our updated guidance for fiscal 2024. With the largest segment of the Duckhorn Portfolio volume in the $15 to $25 price tier that continues to outperform the broader market, plus the strength of our brand equity and incremental initiatives in the second half, we believe we are well positioned to exceed industry growth. Despite these broader market headwinds, we delivered strong profitability in the second quarter and continue to take share as we focused on those factors within our control. Importantly, we grew adjusted EBITDA by approximately 10% to $42.7 million, an adjusted EBITDA margin of 41.5%, which is a 400 basis point improvement over the prior year period, driven by robust gross margins and strong operating cost management. Not only does this speak to the Duckhorn Portfolio's strength as a luxury wine operator, it is also evidence of our ability to manage our business effectively and profitably across multiple demand environments. To highlight our ability to outpace the broader market, we outperformed total wine by more than 300 basis points and the luxury wine market by nearly 200 basis points over the quarter, according to Circana data. However, while we continue to take share, distributor and retailer inventory adjustments did impact our top line results, as we saw evidence of both tiers taking a cautious view of market growth and more assertively managing inventory. The industry outlook for the second half of our fiscal year remains cautious. Incorporating our second quarter results and the challenging market conditions, we are revising the midpoint of our full year guidance, such that the implied second half growth rate is in the low to mid-single-digit range, which reflects a softer near-term outlook for the industry, offset by Duckhorn's proven ability to outperform the luxury wine market. Our conviction of the second half comes from multiple factors, which I'll discuss here, but I also encourage you to refer to our new earnings presentation, which includes a slide detailing the building blocks of our second half expectations. As previously described, our outlook assumes the luxury wine market continues to perform as it has in the recent 12-week period, which has been in the flat to 1% range. We view our proven ability to exceed that industry growth rate as our baseline for the second half. On top of that baseline of steady state growth, we see additional second half upside of approximately 200 to 300 basis points from three distinct initiatives. In order of magnitude, these three items are; first, innovation, which encompasses Decoy Featherweight, our new lowering calorie, lowering alcohol Sauvignon Blanc, as well as the introduction of an Appalachian-specific Decoy-limited Paso Robles Cabernet Sauvignon, plus the continuation of strong growth in Decoy limited offerings. Second, improved product availability in some of our most popular wines, including Duckhorn Chardonnay and Decoy Limited Merlot. And third, incremental programming with our distributors and retail partners, including reintroducing by-the-glass programs, among other opportunities. These initiatives are expected to add additional upside to growth in the second half, contributing to our revised full year outlook for net sales between $395 million and $411 million. I'll now turn to the results from the quarter. In the wholesale channel, we saw distributor and retailer inventories decline in dollar terms as they reduced forward-looking forecasts to account for softer market conditions. Despite these challenges and the resulting impact on net sales, the Duckhorn brands continued to grow within the channel with consistent end-consumer demand, as supported by trailing Circana data. This underpins our confidence in a return to more normalized alignment between shipments and depletions over the longer term, as we look past the near-term industry softness. On the direct-to-consumer side, visitation at our tasting rooms is showing positive signs, but our club membership remains below pandemic highs. As we've previously discussed, we see meaningful opportunity for our DTC business, which is one of our four organic growth pillars. DTC, important in its own right as a sales and marketing channel, has a valuable halo effect on the wholesale business. We continue to focus on reaching consumers in the way that resonates most effectively. This includes the curation of ultra-high-end experiences as we leverage the opportunity to build lasting relationships with our most valuable customers. Drilling down within our portfolio, I want to take time to recognize Decoy, a brand we created more than three decades ago. It has consistently grown through varietal extensions and innovation. Today, Decoy continues to delight consumers, generating strong growth in excess of its price tier and sustaining a position as one of the most popular luxury wines available, both from a sales and brand awareness perspective. Perhaps nothing speaks to the strength of the broader Decoy brand more than our success with Decoy Limited. Launched in 2020 at a higher price point, Limited continues to deliver strong double-digit growth in Circana data. Finally, from a channel perspective, we continue to see growth in the number of accounts, both on-premise and off-premise, that carry our wine. This increase in accounts is a key part of our wholesale growth strategy and further proof of the strength of the Duckhorn Portfolio as a whole, as well as individual brands within it. I also note that the acquisition of Sonoma-Cutrer unlocks a unique opportunity to introduce Duckhorn Portfolio wines to Sonoma-Cutrer vineyard accounts and vice versa. Based on our early analysis, we see significant opportunity to cross-sell our brands post-closing. The opportunity to increase the number of labels per account is considerable and something we're incredibly excited about, as we look toward the close of this acquisition. Additionally, as part of our integration planning, we have initiated a comprehensive review of our wholesaler alignment strategy to ensure that the route to market for our combined portfolio is efficient and optimized for growth. Continuing with our acquisition of Sonoma-Cutrer, I'll note that we remain on track to close this spring. We are acquiring an incredible asset that is a great fit within our portfolio brand architecture, as evidenced by the opportunity to capitalize on incremental accounts and labels per account, as I just described. When we first announced our plans, we described approximately $5 million of cost synergies, primarily in OpEx. With additional time and visibility in the intervening several months, we now believe that number to be the minimum in cost savings, as we find additional opportunities to extract costs from the combined entity's operating expenses. We're making excellent progress and look forward to updating you when we close later this spring. I'll conclude by saying, while we have more work to do, we're pleased with the hard work and execution of our team in a challenging environment. The strength of the Circana data speaks to our robust brand equity and supports our confidence in our ability to weather near-term demand fluctuations, while continuing to drive sustained long-term profitable growth. With that, I'll turn over to Jennifer to provide more details on the financial results for the quarter and our outlook for the year.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Jennifer Fall Jung: Thank you, Deidre, and good afternoon, everyone. We continue to effectively navigate a dynamic demand environment. Despite the near-term softness in net sales, we delivered profitability well above expectations on strong gross margins and active operating expense management. I'll now provide the results from the quarter. All comparisons are to the second quarter of fiscal 2023, unless otherwise stated. Beginning with the top line, net sales were 103 million, a decrease of 0.4% as the distributor and retail inventory reset extended beyond our initial expectations. By channel, wholesale to distributor net sales were flat in Q2. As previously discussed, net new accounts and label per account were offset by tighter inventory controls across the supply chain. Despite these factors with our distributor and retail partners, we continue to deliver on our strategic objectives to leverage the brand and expand our wholesale accounts, both of which represent key drivers of our net sales growth. Distributor inventory days on hand was broadly in line with our expectations of 65 days. California wholesale direct-to-trade declined 2.6%, driven by the same factors that impacted wholesale-to-distributor net sales. The direct-to-consumer channel was down 4.3%, roughly in line with our expectations during what is typically a lighter quarter for the DTC business. As we previously noted, we continue to adjust our DTC business to position it for success amidst a period of post-pandemic transition. Moving down the P&L, second quarter gross profit was 58.3 million, a gross margin of 56.6%, up approximately 330 basis points year-over-year as we optimize our trade spend in line with the lower depletion volumes in the quarter. In keeping with our expectations for improved second half growth, we have trade spend to be more in line with our historical levels. SG&A was 29.2 million, a decrease of 1% year-over-year. On an adjusted basis, total SG&A declined 0.7 million, or 3%, to 21.9 million, driven by strong cost management throughout the quarter. This represents 50 basis points of leverage despite flat net sales. Note that adjusted operating expenses exclude 1.8 million of transaction costs, primarily related to our pending acquisition of Sonoma-Cutrer Vineyards. Net income was 15.9 million, or 0.14 per diluted share. Adjusted net income was 20.7 million, or 0.18 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDA was 42.7 million, an increase of 3.9 million, or 10.1% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved 400 basis points versus the prior year period, to 41.5%, driven by gross margin improvement and strong cost controls. At the end of the quarter, we had cash of 13.1 million and total debt of 283.8 million, resulting in our leverage ratio of 1.9x net debt due to the seasonality of grower payments. I'll now share our updated full-year fiscal 2024 outlook, which reflects our second quarter results as well as our current expectations for second half growth. These expectations are influenced by near-term softness across the industry, but offset by both our proven ability to outperform luxury wine and incremental growth driven by multiple initiatives rolling out in the second half of the year. As a reminder, our guidance does not include our pending acquisition of Sonoma-Cutrer. For the full fiscal year 2024, we now expect net sales in the range of 395 million to 411 million, which represents growth of approximately minus 2% to positive 2%, which implies low-to-mid single-digit growth for the second half of 2024, as Deirdre discussed. For adjusted EBITDA, we expect a range of 145 million to 150 million, or flat to 4% growth. This represents an adjusted EBITDA margin of 36.6% at the midpoint, up 80 basis points from our previous guidance as we continue to focus on execution and cost management. For adjusted EPS, we expect a range of 0.63 to 0.65 per diluted share. I also want to provide some color on what we expect from a seasonality perspective, due primarily to the timing of our Costa Brown Appalachian Series offering, the largest annual release from our Costa Brown winery brand. You can also find this detail in our accompanying presentation. As we've described previously, this release will be shipped in the third quarter rather than the fourth quarter, as was the case in fiscal 2023. As a result, we expect significant variance between the third and fourth quarter net sales growth rates versus the respective prior year quarter. More specifically, we expect a second half net sales split of approximately 53% in the third quarter and 47% in the fourth quarter. On the gross margin front, two factors will impact gross margin in the second half of fiscal 2024, both of which are driven by an improvement in product availability for some of our most popular products. First, we're restarting our wine-by-the-glass program, which drives sales both directly and indirectly to enhance brand awareness, albeit at a lower margin. The second factor is increased trade spend relative to last year and the first half of the year. We continue to expect second half trade spend to return to historical levels and align with our growth expectations. As a result, we expect the fiscal 2024 third and fourth quarter gross margin to be below the high point achieved in the second quarter. While second quarter net sales were lower than anticipated, we are pleased with our ability to toggle the business to ensure we continue to deliver margin expansion. Importantly, we expect the inventory adjustments caused by a shifting post-pandemic outlook will be smaller in the second half and anticipate they will be largely complete this fiscal year. As a leading luxury wine company with one of the strongest brands in the industry, we are confident in our ability to continue to take share and deliver sustained, profitable, long-term growth. Thank you. I will now hand it back to Deirdre.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Deirdre Mahlan: Thanks, Jennifer. I'm coming up on my six-month mark as interim CEO of the Duckhorn Portfolio, and despite the challenging industry dynamics, I'm pleased with the progress the organization is making to deliver on our future growth plans, including completion of the Sonoma-Cutrer acquisition and second half innovation launches. We remain committed to delivering sustained, profitable growth and will always strive to create value in the long term for our shareholders. Our long-term growth drivers remain consistent, leveraging our brand strength, evolving our portfolio, expanding our wholesale network, and growing our DTC channel. These drivers will support our growth through the current demand environment and beyond. Before I move to questions, I'll provide a brief update on our CEO search. The search committee has made great progress and has narrowed down the initial pool of candidates to several that the board is very pleased with, and I'll look forward to updating you as we continue with the process. With that, Jennifer, Sean, and I are available to take your questions.

Operator: [Operator Instructions]. Our first question is from Nik Modi with RBC. Your line is now open.

Nik Modi: Hi. Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. So just two quick questions. Deirdre, I was hoping you can comment on just the overall consumption backdrop. Certainly, the change in guidance was a function of inventory dynamics, but I was wondering if you can just comment at the consumer level in terms of, from your perspective, what you see happening. And then the second question you mentioned something about wholesale optimization, and so I was hoping you could just provide a little bit more clarity and maybe what you think about the California business, if you're rethinking your go-to-market in that state. Thank you.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Deirdre Mahlan: Okay, thanks. First, I'll give you my view on the consumer, although I would say, as I'm sure you hear from many, this is quite a difficult time to forecast consumption. Clearly, we're fortunate to be operating in price tiers in the wine sector that actually are in growth and have remained in growth through much of what has been kind of a volatile post-pandemic period. I think the reason for our guidance and what's reflected here is that we expect kind of a continued variable response from the consumer in terms of their behaviors, both in the on and off-premise. And there's a dynamic happening that we're seeing that there seems to be more activity in the on-premise in particular versus what was happening in the pandemic levels, in the pandemic time, and that's affecting both our DTC and our kind of chain business in the off-premise. The zero to one range that we quote, that has been stable really for a period. Some periods it's a little down, some periods it's a little up. But if you look across consecutive 12-week periods, which take out some of the bumps, that's pretty much, that's been stable is probably even not the right word, but it hasn't deviated too much from that range. So I think as we come through this next six months, it'll be important to see where everyone is expecting interest rates to come down and some abatement and inflation, what the consumer behavior looks like. I do think it's important to note that we're not seeing trading down much out of this price tier in our core consumers. People may be moving from some of the 20s into the 16 or 17, but we're not seeing evidence of people going from above 15 down to $10. I mean, that is not a trend that we're seeing, and you can see that actually in the Circana data. So if we look forward, we're really barring any trigger that would show that there's a shift. We're just expecting that to continue for the rest of the fiscal year in any event as we see it play out. With respect to your second question on the distributors, yeah, I mean, I think Duckhorn has been growing and is now significantly at a scale business, has a couple of big scale brands if you consider the acquisition, the pending acquisition of Sonoma-Cutrer. So we thought this was the right moment for us to take a step back and look at our wholesaler relationships, how we're aligned. As you can imagine, the Duckhorn Portfolio was represented in some states and Sonoma-Cutrer represented by a different wholesaler in the same state. So we had some alignment we needed to do anyway, and we decided to take a step back and do a full and comprehensive review with our wholesalers on thinking about the business going forward, and everything's on the table. We're looking at all of our business. We're, of course, happy with, and we've talked about California before, but we will always kind of keep evaluating all of the potential opportunities as we think about that.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Nik Modi: Great. Thank you. I'll pass it on.

Deirdre Mahlan: Thanks, Nik.

Operator: Our next question is from Kaumil Gajrawala with Jefferies. Your line is now open.

Kaumil Gajrawala: Thanks, everybody. This is a little bit of a follow-up on Nik's question. I think we want to just try to really dig into what caused the wholesalers to decide that they have a much more negative view on the back half, which obviously led to the inventory corrections. What are they observing or seeing to give them that sense? And then maybe the second piece is, for quite some time, you've been a distribution story. And I'm curious as we think about your guidance, how much incremental distribution as a contributor to sales growth is embedded in that?

Deirdre Mahlan: Okay. So let me start with the first question. I can talk to you about what our wholesalers and distributors have conveyed to us as we've kind of came through the second quarter and kind of can see the weakness in their orders, even though we were still seeing growth in our business. And what I've been hearing and our guidance at the end of the first quarter expected this situation to abate. We thought, and clearly, obviously from our first quarter guidance, that that situation would improve, and it did not. In fact, it got a bit softer. And our wholesalers are kind of saying the same thing to us, which is that when you come through 2023, there has been softness in terms of the retail trade, what they saw as retailer destocking, retailers taking smaller deals in terms of the cases that they were buying and being more reticent about buying inventory. So they were clearly managing their inventory. As the price increases stopped in grocery and they had to worry about their own working capital, increasing interest rates, et cetera. What our wholesalers have told us is they expected that to improve in the second half of 2023, and it didn't. So then when you got into the second half and through our second quarter, they weren't seeing improvement in terms of retailer behavior. So they then started taking a more conservative view themselves and manage inventory down. And I think the retailers are seeing what we all know and read about in the press, about the concerns about the consumer on inflation and on food prices, et cetera, and are just looking to make sure that they're managing their inventories effectively. From the people that I've spoken to at wholesale say, look, they just don't believe this can continue much longer because inventory levels have now gotten to the point where the retailers do need to start to replace stock where there is growth. And that's what gives us some confidence because of course, our brands are in growth and we would expect that our business will reflect the return to growth as retailers start to restock those products. And then the second question.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Jennifer Fall Jung: Yes. Hi, Kaumil. Thanks for the question. So from an account perspective, both our on-premise and off-premise grew their accounts over the course of the quarter. And as we look forward for growth, we absolutely still see opportunity and white space within our account base. So absolutely still part of our strategy, but that's also coupled with our other pillars of our strategy, which are our DTC business and our customer experience, our organic growth, our portfolio expansion, like we've been demonstrating through Decoy Limited, Featherweight, and now Decoy Paso, as well as our inorganic growth, like acquisitions, which we're demonstrating through Sonoma-Cutrer. So definitely front and center part of our growth strategy, but we're supporting that with other avenues as well.

Kaumil Gajrawala: That's useful. Thank you.

Jennifer Fall Jung: Thank you.

Operator: Our next question is from Lauren Lieberman with Barclays. Your line is now open.

Lauren Lieberman: Thanks. Hi, everyone. I was curious if you could just talk a little bit about the free cash flow in the quarter. It changed pretty significantly, so I just love a little bit more color on what's going on with free cash in the outlook for the year. Thanks.

Jennifer Fall Jung: Yes. Thanks for the question. So we did have a big use of cash in the quarter due to our grower payments, and that's all due to seasonality. And so that is reflected within there. And we typically don't give an outlook on our free cash flow, but it should normally follow our seasonality of our business. We will have the acquisition, which we will use through both internal cash as well as our credit facility to fund that as well.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Lauren Lieberman: Okay, great. I'm just curious --

Jennifer Fall Jung: Lauren, you're cutting up a bit.

Lauren Lieberman: Okay. Let me try again, and if not, I'll do it offline. I was just saying, you gave a lot of color on the conversations with wholesalers and there with retailers about carrying inventory and so on, and do the end market demand feel okay? Continue having about the market itself flowing, consumer behavior being different, not in terms of trade down, but just in terms of overall consumption. Are you hearing anything in terms of their views, being two steps closer to the consumer on when we get to sort of a healthier, more customary growth rate to the industry? Thanks.

Jennifer Fall Jung: Yes, and you're cutting out quite a bit, so I'll pick up where I thought I heard the question, which was we don't have a crystal ball right now. We wish you did, but our guidance does reflect, at least in the short term, what we've been seeing historically and throughout Q2. And so since we did see the data come through, we've tried to make sure that we've baked that into our guidance go forward.

Operator: Our next question is from Greg Porter with Evercore. Your line is now open.

Greg Porter: Hi, guys. Thank you for the time. Just a quick question on the underlying trends. Are you seeing some of the weakness in the category from when we try to, I guess, boil it down to where it's actually sourcing from, are you seeing that the consumer is like working down pantry levels at home from purchases may be made during COVID over the last few years? Or have you seen that the general consumption overall has also come down?

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Deirdre Mahlan: It's hard to know that, Greg. It's hard to know exactly what was in the consumer's pantry. We know there was pantry loading. And so I think as we've come through 2023, the wisdom in the industry across beverage alcohol, in particular spirits and wine, the hypothesis is that some of the softness has been destocking of what the consumer has at home, as well as the shift in behavior of occasions where they're going to the on-premise more than the off-premise. And while that, of course, is still business, it does tend to impact volume in terms of the timing of volume and where that volume is coming from. So we do see that. I don't know of any consistent or known other shift in consumption trends that are impacting the business right now in the near term, other than normal consumer behavior responding to inflation and what's happening in terms of the overall market and the economy.

Greg Porter: Great. Thank you, guys.

Operator: Our next question is from Andrea Teixeira with JPMorgan. Your line is now open.

Drew Levine: Hi. Good afternoon. This is Drew Levine in for Andrea. Thank you for taking our questions. So just hoping to be able to get some more context on the updated guidance. Maybe can you talk about how much of the lower guidance is kind of inventory adjustment relative to overall slower consumption trends? So if you could talk to kind of what your depletion trends were both in the quarter and kind of how you're thinking about depletions versus inventory in the second half, that would be helpful?

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Deirdre Mahlan: I'll start and then Jennifer can add some more color. Look, we saw in the first half, every year there is a, in the second quarter, depletions exceed shipments. There's a bill leading up to the holiday and then there's a reversal. What we did see in the second quarter was a much deeper reversal of that trend. So much in the second quarter, depletions exceeded shipments by more than what we anticipated. As we come through the second half, we do expect that normalization to start to rebalance itself. And that is one of the underlying assumptions. If that doesn't happen to the degree we expect, we still think we're well within the guidance range but we are expecting there to be more of a normalization. And again, based upon what I said on one of the earlier questions is that what our wholesalers are telling us is that they expect an improvement in that overall trend. And so we are anticipating that. We do think that our guidance, if it doesn't reverse entirely as we expected, we're still well within that range. And I think the reason why our range is what it is, is because there are some unknowns about the pace of that reversal as well as some of the specifics of the industry growth rates.

Jennifer Fall Jung: Yes, and I'll just add on that. What we see in the inventory within our distributors as well, quarter-over-quarter, it continued to come down this quarter. So it's well within where we target them. So there's not a lot of inventory out there.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Sean Sullivan: And as Jennifer mentioned, in our deck on Page 10, there is a second half growth drivers outline that is probably helpful also in piecing together the other elements of your question.

Drew Levine: Okay, great. Thanks. And then just if I could have a follow up. Can you talk about the competitive environment? Clearly, industry growth has slowed. But are you seeing any pickup, I guess, in promotional activity or the wholesalers or retailers kind of asking you to increase activity behind the brands to kind of drive some demand? And that's in relation, I guess, as well to the strong gross margin performance over the past several quarters. So any thoughts there would be helpful?

Jennifer Fall Jung: Yes, I think where you see more of the promotional activity is really in the value segment, so below $15 versus where we're currently playing. And then from working with our distributors, we always have our standard promotions with them. We're not hearing or receiving requests for additional promotions. And what you saw in the quarter was actually we maintained where we do play within that promotional cadence. And we're also very mindful not to start, for lack of a better word, buying market share through increased promotions because that's a hard model to sustain. So we're on track with our strategy.

Drew Levine: Thanks so much.

Operator: Our next question is from Andrew Strelzik with BMO. Your line is now open.

Andrew Strelzik: Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions. My first one is on the margin side. And I was hoping you could elaborate on some of the key margin drivers in the quarter, in particular on the operating cost management that you referenced and how durable are your confidence that you can hold on to those gains for the rest of this year? Maybe if you could comment on whether you think kind of the 2Q SG&A levels are a good run rate or how you expect that to trend through the rest of the year?

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Jennifer Fall Jung: Great, thanks for the question. I'll start with margin. So we do believe that our Q2 margin was a high mark in the quarter based on where the sales landed and our trade spin landed, as well as there was a bit of mix underneath the covers from our different labels, which helped also support the margin. As we spoke about on the call, there will be pressure in the back half on margin based on we believe our trade spin will normalize and align up directly with our sales, which as you can tell are, as we mentioned, are in the low to mid-single-digit growth rate for the back half. So that's what we expect on the margin line. From a cost perspective, coming into the year, we knew the industry was receiving a lot of pressure and we've been managing our costs very tightly throughout the year and we will continue to do that in the back half. And you see that reflected in our adjusted EBITDA guidance above the midpoint of where our net sales guidance is. And really on the SG&A side or the op side, where we're cutting back is really on non-essential items. We are not taking any costs out of the organization, which is supporting our growth. It's really just being extremely prudent, whether it be back office headcount or travel, entertainment, all that kind of stuff that we're just being very dogmatic about.

Andrew Strelzik: Okay, that's helpful. And a second question, if I could, is on the acquisition. And I don't know how much you can really speak to this, but to the extent that you are expressing more optimism on the Synergy side, what's kind of underpinning that? And then is there any sense that the consumer environment and inventory management could change the cadence to which you think you'll be able to kind of leverage Sonoma-Cutrer and the broader portfolio relative to how you had initially expected? Thanks.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Jennifer Fall Jung: Yes, thanks for the question. On the Synergies, when we announced the acquisition, that was our first draft going through based on the information we have. We've now had a few months to get a lot better information by partnering with Brown Forman (NYSE:BFb) and that's where we've been able to go a lot deeper in terms of where we think we can grab some Synergies. And we'll have a lot more to share on specifically what those look like on future calls. And then from a consumer perspective, no, that's a great brand and we feel very confident about the acquisition, about how it's going to play within our portfolio.

Sean Sullivan: Yes. And hi, it's Sean. I would just, to Jennifer's point, it is just the continuation of more work we're doing and being positive and feeling good about what we're finding as we continue to prepare for integration later this spring. And as Jennifer noted, with respect to the strength of the brand, the Circana data, for example, is out there and shows it continuing to do very well. And we think we're going to be able to add further value once it's part of our portfolio.

Andrew Strelzik: Great. Thank you very much.

Operator: Our next question is from Peter Galbo with Bank of America. Your line is now open.

Peter Galbo: Hi, guys. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. I guess maybe just one, can you expand or unpack a little bit more on the restart on the, I think you call it the Wine by the Class program, just how far into that are you now, kind of the early learnings you have? And I think you did mention it was going to be a bit of a margin drag. Just kind of help us understand that a little bit more. Thanks very much.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Jennifer Fall Jung: Great. Thanks for the question, Peter. Yes. So we had some inventory shortages, and that's why we had to pull back on the wine-by-the-glass program, specifically within the Duckhorn Chardonnay and a few others. And we've talked a little bit about getting back into stock on those in the back half. So that's really what caused us to kind of lose some of that momentum. Starting it back up, we really do feel, even though it is a bit of a drain on margin, it's a great way to expose people to all of our brands and get us some brand awareness. So it's part of the program, and we feel it's worth that investment because it pays off in dividends as we continue to get more people into our portfolio of brands.

Peter Galbo: Thanks.

Operator: We have no additional questions at this time, so I'll pass the call back to the management team for any closing remarks.

Deirdre Mahlan: Okay. Thanks again, everyone, for joining us today for our second quarter performance and our guidance for fiscal year '24. I'll look forward to speaking with you again in June when we report our third quarter results. Cheers. Thanks, everyone.

Operator: That concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect your line.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.