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Stock Market Today: S&P 500 rides strong GDP data to fifth record close in a row

Published 01/24/2024, 07:24 PM
Updated 01/25/2024, 04:06 PM
© Reuters

Investing.com -- The S&P 500 closed at record levels for the fifth-straight session Thursday as investors mulled mostly upbeat corporate earnings, while stronger-than-expected economic growth and slowing inflation bolstered expectations for a soft landing, pushing Treasury yields lower.

By 16:00 ET (21:00 GMT), the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 242 points, or 0.6%, the S&P 500 traded 0.5% higher to close at record of 4,894.92. The Nasdaq Composite closed 0.2% higher.

U.S. fourth-quarter growth surprises to upside to bolster soft landing hopes

Economic data released earlier Thursday showed that the U.S. economy grew at a faster than anticipated rate in the fourth quarter, with further signs that inflation pressures are receding supporting bets that the economy is likely to avoid a recession.

Real gross domestic product in the world's largest economy expanded at an annual rate of 3.3% in the three months to the end of December, decelerating from 4.9% in the third quarter, though well above economists' forecast for 2%, driven by stronger consumer spending. Core personal consumption expenditure prices, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, remained at 2% for the second-straight month.

"Bottom line, the consumer went nuts in Q3, spending tons of money on vacation, entertainment, and recreation experiences," Jefferies said in a Thursday note, though cautioned that "signs of broader weakness in the data should emerge soon."

Treasury yields fell following the data, with the yield on the 10-year down 4.5 basis points to 4.135%.

IBM , United Rentals , American Airlines impress

International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM), up 9%, was the torchbearer for rising tech stocks after the tech company reported Q4 results that topped analyst estimates, with an upside surprise in free cash flow stoking bullish sentiment as 'big blue' artificial intelligent offering drummed up demand.

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"Management highlighted that the book of business around generative AI and watsonx had doubled from the prior quarter," RBC said in a note, as it lifted its price target on the stock to $200 from $179.

United Rentals Inc (NYSE:URI), meanwhile, was one of the top gainers, surging nearly 13% to a new 52-week high following better-than-expected Q4 results that beat on both the top and bottom lines. The equipment rental also unveiled plans to buyback $1.5 billion of stock in 2024 and lifted its quarterly dividend.

American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), up 10%, was also a big winner on the earnings stage after flying in a better-than-expected quarterly report and annual guidance as strong travel demand is expected to boost performance.

Tesla in bearish squeeze on weaker Q4 results, 'trainwreck' conference call; Boeing dives

Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) fell more than 12% after reporting weaker-than-expected Q4 results, warning of "notably lower" volume growth this year and delivering a "trainwreck" of a conference call, Wedbush said.

Many were expecting hoping for an update on price cuts, margin structure, and flucuating demand.... "instead we got a high level Tesla long term view with another train wreck conference call," Wedbush added.

Boeing (NYSE:BA) stock fell nearly 6% after the U.S. aviation regulator said that it will not let the planemaker expand production of its 737 MAX jet, in the wake of a dangerous mid-air breach on its MAX 9 model earlier this month.

(Peter Nurse, Oliver Gray contributed to this article.)

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Latest comments

AAL will be min 25 usd..
bad is good and vica versa. Thradors forgot the main trading idea.
These editors are clueless and naive. They don't know basic economics. Laughable
These editors are so naive or just twisting the truth. The GDP grew and they say there's sign of lower inflation? hm, basic economics says that can't happen
Of course it can. You don't know what you are talking about.
how is it possible that economy grows rapidly but companies laying off people and forecast future revenues below market expectations? Something is wrong with stats
Amazing, eh? It's almost as if cutting employment costs contributes to firms' profits in the short term!...
@Djamshid: Nothing is wrong with the stats. The error is in you analytical approach. You are attempting to draw conclusions by comparing anecdotes (nonrepresentative samples) to representative data.
Soft landing means strong growth now to moderate growth in the future.
2PM sharp, and the FRAUD commences.  A show worthy of a full-time spot in Las Vegas.  And of course "investors" load up right into the close.  BIGGEST INVESTMENT JOKE IN THE WORLD.
Just for Shi9t's & Giggles load a 100 year DOW chart, strip out smoke and mirror inflation adjustments and log scaling BS and just look at normalcy until Reagan let the genie out of the bottle. The DOW should be at 5-7,000 TOPS! It's hilarious to see what was done with imaginary money. The US$ was a sight to behold, now it is the same as Bitcoin; air backed by nothing.
must say I am getting tired from winning with Dark Brandon.
Oil is up 3% today. Container shipping rates are up 200% in a single month. High inflation is here to stay. The fed has surrendered
Keep hoping.
The Fed getting the soft landing it was hoping for.
Inflation landing
Ah yes, the "late trade" magic show, staring savvy "investors" that "buy" in the final hours of trade, every day of the week.  Predictable as the rising tide.  Fraudulent, criminally manipulated JOKE.
Liar.  The market was trending down from 1 pm yesterday and closed at the low of day.
Anticipate selling in the Monday pre-market. Early birds taking profits before the Fed announcement.
And the biggest investment JOKE in the world bounces off the magical break-even trampoline, as the "buyers" lay it wait to prevent it from going red.  The flagrant protection of criminally manufactured "gains" continues, as the greatest financial FRAUD in history lays financial waste to the US working class.
hope my part in the movie is played by a good lucking man with a beautiful wife
IT'S A CONSPIRACY!!!
Why not write a book about it?
GDP only means something if it can be fudged to pump stocks. Otherwise its shrugged off. However, the issue now is: doesn't this reduce the probability of interest rate cuts? Why are stocks rising then. Stocks have soared 5K on the rate cut hopes and they're still going up on rate cuts diminishing?
mostly AI related companies fueling this rally. market breadth is weak. this is very well engineered bull run. soft landing is a new normal for the markets, anything else like dxy, yields, geopolitics is currently just a noise.
Why would higher than "expected" GDP make the market think the Fed would be more likely to cut rates, especially with rising inflation numbers in the past two months? Also note that the article points out that GDP is down from 4.9% in Q4 to 3.3% in Q4. Setting expectations artificially low and later revising economic data has been a common theme in the Biden admin.
Quarterly GDP trending up. Last quarter was a large spike but looking at previous quarters, the trend is up. Core PCE (a Fed favorite for inflation) is trending down and this quarter at 2% as expected and same as last. PE ratio for IVV (SP500 ETF) is about normal (slightly less than 25). IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) PE is very low at about 12. QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF) is high (about 34) but not abnormal since outlook is positive for tech.
GDP data spells trouble for TLT
What's TLT? (New to the markets 🙋)
TLT is a treasury bond ETF.
Thank you
No datas are affecting the bullish waves now .......might as well ride the bull waves while the Ai 🐂💩hype last.....
Inflation MoM in November was 0.1% and in December 0.3%, GDP in q3 was 4.9% and q4 3.3%. So inflation is trending up and GDP trending down. All this gaslighting will not stop future rate hikes to clean up this mess as even large companies doing massive layoffs.
USA market doesn’t care reality anymore. Stock market is casino now if you want to invest……
Fed is the economy...
Inflation up in November, inflation up in December, GDP down from 4.9% to 3.3% q3 vs q4, stocks with extremely high P/Es...not only is there going to be no rate drop, but very likely rate increase. Inflation is still nearly 2x Fed target. Every day on front page for months now is about companies doing large layoffs.
With these blowout GDP numbers, who in their right mind would cut interest rates anytime in 2024?
Just hope the Fed doesn't go overboard and get back to free money and have no tool in their toolbox for the future.
 The goal is still to get to 2% so still not there.
That's the angle...now the FED has an excuse to not cut rates.
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