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Day Ahead: Top 3 Things to Watch

Published 10/17/2018, 04:08 PM
Updated 10/17/2018, 04:34 PM
© Reuters.  Jobless claims arrive.

Investing.com - Here’s a preview of the top 3 things that could rock markets tomorrow.

1. Will Trump React to Fed Minutes?

The market failed to find direction at the end of trading today as the Federal Reserve’s conviction that the economy can withstand quite a few more rate hikes (as evidenced by the minutes) spooked buyers.

While not a rebuttal to President Donald Trump calling the Fed and its rate hikes his biggest “threat” -- these minutes are from a meeting last month, after all – it’s clear that policymakers and the chief executive are at loggerheads.

Another tweet or comment from the president against the FOMC could further dent market confidence tomorrow.

The longer-term concern for investors is that if the Fed changes course it will now be seen as bowing to pressure, leading to more uncertainty about future moves and who is really calling the shots.

And if the Fed pauses for a few more meetings, it runs the risk of having to slam on the brakes hard if overheating starts.

2. Travelers Headlines Before-the-Bell Earnings

In earnings ahead of trading tomorrow, Dow component Travelers (NYSE:TRV) is one of the bigger names reporting.

On average, analysts expect that the insurance company earned $2.26 per share on revenue of $7 billion.

As with all insurers, growth of premiums will be key to results. But with interest rates climbing and bond yields rising, it will be important to see if the company’s investment revenue comes in strong.

Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM) also reports its latest quarterly numbers and investors will be looking for any sign that the company is moving closer into investing in the hot cannabis section.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Legalization of cannabis in Canada began today.

Meanwhile, more financial companies weigh in after the bell, with PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) and American Express (NYSE:AXP) on tap.

3. Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Arrive

In economic indicators, the weekly jobless claims numbers come in at 8:30 AM ET (12:30 GMT).

Economists expect that claims for first-time unemployment benefits dipped slightly to 211,000 from 214,000 the week before.

Labor numbers have been consistently good, with this week’s latest JOLTs report showing job openings at a record level.

At the same time the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing index is issued. Manufacturing activity is forecast to have dipped in October to a measure of 19.7.

Latest comments

the way this reads its almost like they want the economy to tank
They think it's a bubble so they're trying to slowly release the air before it pops. The problem is that it isn't a bubble. It's just solid economic growth backed by solid economic indicators.All that this will end up doing is ruining the housing market with high interest which will pull the economy down with it.
 kinda my point I don't know how the fed likes trump but this almost feels like they are intentionally tanking the market to spite him since he wanted to take credit for it so much and all. So by 2020 the market is destroyed and people might want to vote him out cause of it. It's all in the guise that they are trying to help the economy but I think with tariffs and the rest of the world kind of falling apart we don't need rate hikes to slow the economy seems like its taking care of itself and raising is only gong to push it over the edge.
$YECO.... Absolute insanity today. From $1 to $15 AH
Crazy Volatile week
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